President Donald Trump has focused his May diplomacy on advancing a potential deal to end the Iran conflict, including a tense May 20 phone call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and a conference call with leaders from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and other regional states to discuss the Abraham Accords and related security issues. He has also publicly signaled openness to direct talks with Taiwan President Lai Ching-te amid arms package considerations and U.S.-China tensions. These developments, alongside ongoing negotiations and scheduled regional summits, shape trader assessments of likely contacts through the end of the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$955,876 交易量

弗拉基米爾·普京
7%

弗拉基米爾·澤連斯基
4%

馬克·卡尼
3%

基爾·斯塔默
3%

馬蘇德·佩澤什基安
2%

艾哈邁德·夏拉
1%

禮薩·巴列維
1%

瑪麗亞·科琳娜·馬查多
1%

教宗良十四世
1%

尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
<1%

金正恩
<1%

尹錫悅
<1%

馬克·呂特
38%
$955,876 交易量

弗拉基米爾·普京
7%

弗拉基米爾·澤連斯基
4%

馬克·卡尼
3%

基爾·斯塔默
3%

馬蘇德·佩澤什基安
2%

艾哈邁德·夏拉
1%

禮薩·巴列維
1%

瑪麗亞·科琳娜·馬查多
1%

教宗良十四世
1%

尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
<1%

金正恩
<1%

尹錫悅
<1%

馬克·呂特
38%
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
市場開放時間: Apr 30, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
If the date/time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has focused his May diplomacy on advancing a potential deal to end the Iran conflict, including a tense May 20 phone call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and a conference call with leaders from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and other regional states to discuss the Abraham Accords and related security issues. He has also publicly signaled openness to direct talks with Taiwan President Lai Ching-te amid arms package considerations and U.S.-China tensions. These developments, alongside ongoing negotiations and scheduled regional summits, shape trader assessments of likely contacts through the end of the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions