Trader consensus prices Aryna Sabalenka as the slim 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 25% implied probability, closely trailed by Iga Świątek (18%) and Elena Rybakina (16.5%), reflecting a highly competitive grass-court field with no dominant force amid surface-specific challenges. Sabalenka's powerful baseline game and recent WTA Finals title bolster her edge after reclaiming world No. 1, while Rybakina's proven Wimbledon pedigree—including her 2022 Grand Slam triumph—and strong serve on grass keep her prominent despite inconsistent hard-court form. Świątek's overall dominance is tempered by historical grass struggles, capped at quarterfinals. Rising prospects like 16-year-old Victoria Mboko (5.5%), fresh off junior breakthroughs and upsets over top seeds, add volatility, underscoring the market's tight dynamics driven by injury risks, form fluctuations, and grass's fast, low-bounce demands over the next 18 months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於阿麗娜·莎巴蓮卡 26%
伊加·史薇泰克 18.3%
艾琳娜·雷巴金娜 17%
維多利亞·姆博科 5.5%
$1,997,332 交易量
$1,997,332 交易量
阿麗娜·莎巴蓮卡
26%
伊加·史薇泰克
18%
艾琳娜·雷巴金娜
17%
維多利亞·姆博科
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
阿曼達·安尼西莫娃
4%
米拉·安德烈娃
3%
卡羅莉娜·穆霍娃
2%
王欣瑜
2%
貝琳達·班西奇
1%
艾瑪·拉杜卡努
1%
保拉·巴多薩
1%
葉卡捷琳娜·亞歷山德羅娃
1%
潔西卡·佩古拉
1%
塔特雅娜·瑪麗亞
1%
柳德米拉·薩姆索諾娃
1%
唐娜·維奇
1%
索奈·卡塔爾
1%
安娜·卡林斯卡婭
1%
阿納斯塔西婭·帕夫柳琴科娃
1%
葉琳娜·奧斯塔潘科
1%
埃莉娜·斯維托麗娜
1%
克拉拉·陶森
1%
萊拉·費爾南德斯
1%
賈絲敏·保利尼
1%
琳達·諾斯科娃
1%
麥迪遜·基絲
1%
艾瑪·納瓦羅
1%
大坂直美
1%
尤莉婭·普汀塞娃
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
奧爾嘉·達尼洛維奇
1%
瑪麗·布祖科娃
1%
馬爾凱塔·沃德魯索娃
<1%
瑪塔·科斯秋克
<1%
瑪雅·喬因特
<1%
鄭欽文
<1%
麥卡尼·凱斯勒
<1%
巴博拉·克雷吉茨科娃
<1%
埃莉絲·梅爾滕斯
<1%
戴安娜·施奈德
<1%
達亞娜·雅斯特雷姆斯卡
<1%
勞拉·西格蒙德
<1%
艾什琳·克魯格
<1%
昂絲·賈貝爾
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
比阿特麗茲·阿達德·馬雅
<1%
阿麗娜·莎巴蓮卡 26%
伊加·史薇泰克 18.3%
艾琳娜·雷巴金娜 17%
維多利亞·姆博科 5.5%
$1,997,332 交易量
$1,997,332 交易量
阿麗娜·莎巴蓮卡
26%
伊加·史薇泰克
18%
艾琳娜·雷巴金娜
17%
維多利亞·姆博科
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
阿曼達·安尼西莫娃
4%
米拉·安德烈娃
3%
卡羅莉娜·穆霍娃
2%
王欣瑜
2%
貝琳達·班西奇
1%
艾瑪·拉杜卡努
1%
保拉·巴多薩
1%
葉卡捷琳娜·亞歷山德羅娃
1%
潔西卡·佩古拉
1%
塔特雅娜·瑪麗亞
1%
柳德米拉·薩姆索諾娃
1%
唐娜·維奇
1%
索奈·卡塔爾
1%
安娜·卡林斯卡婭
1%
阿納斯塔西婭·帕夫柳琴科娃
1%
葉琳娜·奧斯塔潘科
1%
埃莉娜·斯維托麗娜
1%
克拉拉·陶森
1%
萊拉·費爾南德斯
1%
賈絲敏·保利尼
1%
琳達·諾斯科娃
1%
麥迪遜·基絲
1%
艾瑪·納瓦羅
1%
大坂直美
1%
尤莉婭·普汀塞娃
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
奧爾嘉·達尼洛維奇
1%
瑪麗·布祖科娃
1%
馬爾凱塔·沃德魯索娃
<1%
瑪塔·科斯秋克
<1%
瑪雅·喬因特
<1%
鄭欽文
<1%
麥卡尼·凱斯勒
<1%
巴博拉·克雷吉茨科娃
<1%
埃莉絲·梅爾滕斯
<1%
戴安娜·施奈德
<1%
達亞娜·雅斯特雷姆斯卡
<1%
勞拉·西格蒙德
<1%
艾什琳·克魯格
<1%
昂絲·賈貝爾
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
比阿特麗茲·阿達德·馬雅
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Aryna Sabalenka as the slim 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 25% implied probability, closely trailed by Iga Świątek (18%) and Elena Rybakina (16.5%), reflecting a highly competitive grass-court field with no dominant force amid surface-specific challenges. Sabalenka's powerful baseline game and recent WTA Finals title bolster her edge after reclaiming world No. 1, while Rybakina's proven Wimbledon pedigree—including her 2022 Grand Slam triumph—and strong serve on grass keep her prominent despite inconsistent hard-court form. Świątek's overall dominance is tempered by historical grass struggles, capped at quarterfinals. Rising prospects like 16-year-old Victoria Mboko (5.5%), fresh off junior breakthroughs and upsets over top seeds, add volatility, underscoring the market's tight dynamics driven by injury risks, form fluctuations, and grass's fast, low-bounce demands over the next 18 months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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