Market icon

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 16.0%

法國 13.1%

英格蘭 11.8%

阿根廷 9.2%

Polymarket

$480,855,347 交易量

西班牙 16.0%

法國 13.1%

英格蘭 11.8%

阿根廷 9.2%

Polymarket

$480,855,347 交易量

Market icon

西班牙

$7,709,404 交易量

16%

Market icon

法國

$6,169,098 交易量

13%

Market icon

英格蘭

$7,657,495 交易量

12%

Market icon

阿根廷

$7,870,505 交易量

9%

Market icon

巴西

$7,827,326 交易量

9%

Market icon

葡萄牙

$8,864,806 交易量

7%

Market icon

德國

$7,235,558 交易量

5%

Market icon

荷蘭

$9,582,602 交易量

3%

Market icon

挪威

$7,795,744 交易量

3%

Market icon

比利時

$8,224,655 交易量

2%

Market icon

日本

$9,653,947 交易量

2%

Market icon

哥倫比亞

$7,555,877 交易量

2%

Market icon

美國

$4,826,552 交易量

2%

Market icon

摩洛哥

$9,716,464 交易量

2%

Market icon

烏拉圭

$8,389,294 交易量

1%

Market icon

墨西哥

$7,235,492 交易量

1%

Market icon

克羅埃西亞

$8,122,027 交易量

1%

Market icon

瑞士

$9,070,374 交易量

1%

Market icon

厄瓜多

$9,305,357 交易量

1%

Market icon

土耳其

$964,815 交易量

1%

Market icon

塞內加爾

$8,950,473 交易量

1%

Market icon

瑞典

$718,994 交易量

1%

Market icon

加拿大

$12,037,244 交易量

1%

Market icon

奧地利

$10,830,604 交易量

1%

Market icon

南韓

$14,025,269 交易量

<1%

Market icon

波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

$801,438 交易量

<1%

Market icon

巴拉圭

$12,333,580 交易量

<1%

Market icon

蘇格蘭

$12,557,662 交易量

<1%

Market icon

象牙海岸

$9,688,442 交易量

<1%

Market icon

埃及

$11,370,048 交易量

<1%

Market icon

加納

$10,905,095 交易量

<1%

Market icon

阿爾及利亞

$11,498,656 交易量

<1%

Market icon

突尼西亞

$11,781,041 交易量

<1%

Market icon

捷克

$233,541 交易量

<1%

Market icon

澳洲

$8,580,090 交易量

<1%

Market icon

沙烏地阿拉伯

$18,082,026 交易量

<1%

Market icon

紐西蘭

$17,821,119 交易量

<1%

Market icon

海地

$12,975,629 交易量

<1%

Market icon

約旦

$17,001,831 交易量

<1%

Market icon

伊朗

$12,019,332 交易量

<1%

Market icon

烏茲別克

$28,181,587 交易量

<1%

Market icon

巴拿馬

$1,650,653 交易量

<1%

Market icon

伊拉克

$2,306,038 交易量

<1%

Market icon

南非

$20,027,607 交易量

<1%

Market icon

剛果民主共和國

$2,011,148 交易量

<1%

Market icon

佛得角

$10,966,477 交易量

<1%

Market icon

卡達

$13,959,104 交易量

<1%

Market icon

庫拉索

$24,838,744 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at a modest 16% implied probability following the completion of qualifiers on March 31, with playoffs awarding final spots to surprise entrants like Cape Verde, Curaçao, Jordan, and Uzbekistan, expanding the 48-team field and heightening upset potential in the group stage and knockout rounds. Their edge stems from topping UEFA Group E unbeaten, Euro 2024 triumph, and youthful firepower from Lamine Yamal and Pau Cubarsí amid a dominant March squad call-up. France (13%) counters with Kylian Mbappé-led depth after strong group leadership, while England (12%) boasts a perfect qualifying record, Argentina (9%) leverages Lionel Messi's experience despite age concerns, and Brazil (9%) relies on CONMEBOL supremacy. The bunched top tier reflects the expanded format's leniency—top-two group finishers plus eight best thirds advance—balanced by North American home-soil dynamics, injury risks to aging stars, and historical knockout volatility keeping the race wide open.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$480,855,347
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at a modest 16% implied probability following the completion of qualifiers on March 31, with playoffs awarding final spots to surprise entrants like Cape Verde, Curaçao, Jordan, and Uzbekistan, expanding the 48-team field and heightening upset potential in the group stage and knockout rounds. Their edge stems from topping UEFA Group E unbeaten, Euro 2024 triumph, and youthful firepower from Lamine Yamal and Pau Cubarsí amid a dominant March squad call-up. France (13%) counters with Kylian Mbappé-led depth after strong group leadership, while England (12%) boasts a perfect qualifying record, Argentina (9%) leverages Lionel Messi's experience despite age concerns, and Brazil (9%) relies on CONMEBOL supremacy. The bunched top tier reflects the expanded format's leniency—top-two group finishers plus eight best thirds advance—balanced by North American home-soil dynamics, injury risks to aging stars, and historical knockout volatility keeping the race wide open.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$480,855,347
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "法國" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $480.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.