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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 15.8%

英格蘭 12.8%

法國 11.1%

阿根廷 9.8%

Polymarket

$423,168,528 交易量

西班牙 15.8%

英格蘭 12.8%

法國 11.1%

阿根廷 9.8%

Polymarket

$423,168,528 交易量

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西班牙

$5,563,717 交易量

16%

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英格蘭

$6,537,202 交易量

13%

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法國

$4,189,298 交易量

11%

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阿根廷

$6,700,228 交易量

10%

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巴西

$6,389,189 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$8,029,775 交易量

7%

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德國

$6,707,945 交易量

5%

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荷蘭

$8,958,451 交易量

3%

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挪威

$7,414,955 交易量

3%

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意大利

$7,686,309 交易量

2%

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比利時

$7,426,777 交易量

2%

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哥倫比亞

$7,024,650 交易量

2%

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美國

$4,645,622 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$8,758,550 交易量

2%

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日本

$8,560,430 交易量

1%

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烏拉圭

$7,377,017 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$6,663,454 交易量

1%

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克羅埃西亞

$7,833,064 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$8,118,815 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多

$8,737,490 交易量

1%

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塞內加爾

$8,082,991 交易量

1%

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加拿大

$11,375,286 交易量

1%

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奧地利

$10,017,314 交易量

1%

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南韓

$13,113,013 交易量

<1%

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巴拉圭

$11,347,207 交易量

<1%

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象牙海岸

$8,665,605 交易量

<1%

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加納

$9,653,140 交易量

<1%

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阿爾及利亞

$10,198,701 交易量

<1%

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蘇格蘭

$10,808,188 交易量

<1%

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突尼西亞

$10,776,252 交易量

<1%

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澳洲

$8,041,799 交易量

<1%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$17,241,768 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$10,066,212 交易量

<1%

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海地

$12,150,732 交易量

<1%

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約旦

$16,153,524 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$11,204,885 交易量

<1%

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南非

$19,109,242 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$10,148,427 交易量

<1%

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卡達

$11,196,707 交易量

<1%

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紐西蘭

$15,688,729 交易量

<1%

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庫拉索

$18,281,105 交易量

<1%

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烏茲別克

$26,482,033 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 15.8% implied probability, driven by their Euro 2024 triumph, seamless qualifying campaign, and unparalleled squad depth featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Fabian Ruiz in midfield alongside explosive wingers like Nico Williams. Recent March UEFA playoffs concluded without upsets among seeded nations, confirming a stacked European contingent while CONMEBOL qualifiers locked in Argentina atop the standings ahead of Ecuador, Colombia, Uruguay, and Brazil. The race stays tight—England (12.8%), France (11.1%), Argentina (9.8%), and Brazil (8.6%) close behind—owing to their tournament pedigrees, favorable group draws in the expanded 48-team format (e.g., Spain vs. Uruguay, Cabo Verde, Saudi Arabia), and minimal injury disruptions, fostering widespread upset potential amid balanced head-to-head histories and cross-continental rivalries.

Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 15.8% implied probability, driven by their Euro 2024 triumph, seamless qualifying campaign, and unparalleled squad depth featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Fabian Ruiz in midfield alongside explosive wingers like Nico Williams. Recent March UEFA playoffs concluded without upsets among seeded nations, confirming a stacked European contingent while CONMEBOL qualifiers locked in Argentina atop the standings ahead of Ecuador, Colombia, Uruguay, and Brazil. The race stays tight—England (12.8%), France (11.1%), Argentina (9.8%), and Brazil (8.6%) close behind—owing to their tournament pedigrees, favorable group draws in the expanded 48-team format (e.g., Spain vs. Uruguay, Cabo Verde, Saudi Arabia), and minimal injury disruptions, fostering widespread upset potential amid balanced head-to-head histories and cross-continental rivalries.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 15.8% implied probability, driven by their Euro 2024 triumph, seamless qualifying campaign, and unparalleled squad depth featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Fabian Ruiz in midfield alongside explosive wingers like Nico Williams. Recent March UEFA playoffs concluded without upsets among seeded nations, confirming a stacked European contingent while CONMEBOL qualifiers locked in Argentina atop the standings ahead of Ecuador, Colombia, Uruguay, and Brazil. The race stays tight—England (12.8%), France (11.1%), Argentina (9.8%), and Brazil (8.6%) close behind—owing to their tournament pedigrees, favorable group draws in the expanded 48-team format (e.g., Spain vs. Uruguay, Cabo Verde, Saudi Arabia), and minimal injury disruptions, fostering widespread upset potential amid balanced head-to-head histories and cross-continental rivalries.

Spain holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 15.8% implied probability, driven by their Euro 2024 triumph, seamless qualifying campaign, and unparalleled squad depth featuring Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Rodri, and Fabian Ruiz in midfield alongside explosive wingers like Nico Williams. Recent March UEFA playoffs concluded without upsets among seeded nations, confirming a stacked European contingent while CONMEBOL qualifiers locked in Argentina atop the standings ahead of Ecuador, Colombia, Uruguay, and Brazil. The race stays tight—England (12.8%), France (11.1%), Argentina (9.8%), and Brazil (8.6%) close behind—owing to their tournament pedigrees, favorable group draws in the expanded 48-team format (e.g., Spain vs. Uruguay, Cabo Verde, Saudi Arabia), and minimal injury disruptions, fostering widespread upset potential amid balanced head-to-head histories and cross-continental rivalries.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "英格蘭" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $423.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "英格蘭" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.