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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 15.8%

英格蘭 12.8%

法國 10.9%

阿根廷 10.1%

Polymarket

$399,199,711 交易量

西班牙 15.8%

英格蘭 12.8%

法國 10.9%

阿根廷 10.1%

Polymarket

$399,199,711 交易量

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西班牙

$4,920,238 交易量

16%

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英格蘭

$6,168,367 交易量

13%

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法國

$4,000,809 交易量

11%

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阿根廷

$6,060,959 交易量

10%

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巴西

$6,306,744 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$7,898,811 交易量

7%

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德國

$6,577,077 交易量

5%

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荷蘭

$8,567,030 交易量

3%

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挪威

$7,374,619 交易量

3%

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意大利

$7,342,073 交易量

2%

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比利時

$7,292,487 交易量

2%

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哥倫比亞

$6,853,126 交易量

2%

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美國

$4,295,908 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$8,728,086 交易量

2%

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日本

$8,474,760 交易量

1%

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烏拉圭

$6,987,066 交易量

1%

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克羅埃西亞

$7,615,238 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$6,581,695 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多

$8,665,575 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$8,042,995 交易量

1%

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塞內加爾

$8,010,213 交易量

1%

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加拿大

$11,235,138 交易量

1%

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奧地利

$9,541,735 交易量

1%

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南韓

$12,825,006 交易量

<1%

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巴拉圭

$10,084,814 交易量

<1%

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象牙海岸

$8,208,588 交易量

<1%

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阿爾及利亞

$9,775,229 交易量

<1%

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蘇格蘭

$10,375,548 交易量

<1%

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澳洲

$7,833,101 交易量

<1%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$16,897,204 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$9,590,805 交易量

<1%

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海地

$11,531,237 交易量

<1%

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約旦

$15,476,760 交易量

<1%

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加納

$7,546,409 交易量

<1%

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突尼西亞

$9,169,967 交易量

<1%

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烏茲別克

$25,689,046 交易量

<1%

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南非

$18,636,310 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$9,582,936 交易量

<1%

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卡達

$10,659,937 交易量

<1%

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紐西蘭

$14,754,431 交易量

<1%

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庫拉索

$11,979,985 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$10,823,081 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain edges trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, bolstered by a flawless UEFA qualifying campaign including a recent 2-0 victory over Georgia and lingering Euro 2024 momentum with stars like Yamal and Pedri in peak form. England trails closely at 12.8% after demolishing Latvia 5-0 in qualifiers but drawing 1-1 with Uruguay in a March friendly, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities under Tuchel. France (10.9%) and Argentina (10.1%) remain competitive via talent depth—Mbappé's explosiveness and Messi's experience—while Brazil (8.6%) lags from qualifier inconsistencies. This tight cluster reflects parity among UEFA and CONMEBOL powerhouses in the expanded 48-team format, balanced draws, and upset potential across group stage and knockouts on neutral North American soil.

Spain edges trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, bolstered by a flawless UEFA qualifying campaign including a recent 2-0 victory over Georgia and lingering Euro 2024 momentum with stars like Yamal and Pedri in peak form. England trails closely at 12.8% after demolishing Latvia 5-0 in qualifiers but drawing 1-1 with Uruguay in a March friendly, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities under Tuchel. France (10.9%) and Argentina (10.1%) remain competitive via talent depth—Mbappé's explosiveness and Messi's experience—while Brazil (8.6%) lags from qualifier inconsistencies. This tight cluster reflects parity among UEFA and CONMEBOL powerhouses in the expanded 48-team format, balanced draws, and upset potential across group stage and knockouts on neutral North American soil.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain edges trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, bolstered by a flawless UEFA qualifying campaign including a recent 2-0 victory over Georgia and lingering Euro 2024 momentum with stars like Yamal and Pedri in peak form. England trails closely at 12.8% after demolishing Latvia 5-0 in qualifiers but drawing 1-1 with Uruguay in a March friendly, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities under Tuchel. France (10.9%) and Argentina (10.1%) remain competitive via talent depth—Mbappé's explosiveness and Messi's experience—while Brazil (8.6%) lags from qualifier inconsistencies. This tight cluster reflects parity among UEFA and CONMEBOL powerhouses in the expanded 48-team format, balanced draws, and upset potential across group stage and knockouts on neutral North American soil.

Spain edges trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, bolstered by a flawless UEFA qualifying campaign including a recent 2-0 victory over Georgia and lingering Euro 2024 momentum with stars like Yamal and Pedri in peak form. England trails closely at 12.8% after demolishing Latvia 5-0 in qualifiers but drawing 1-1 with Uruguay in a March friendly, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities under Tuchel. France (10.9%) and Argentina (10.1%) remain competitive via talent depth—Mbappé's explosiveness and Messi's experience—while Brazil (8.6%) lags from qualifier inconsistencies. This tight cluster reflects parity among UEFA and CONMEBOL powerhouses in the expanded 48-team format, balanced draws, and upset potential across group stage and knockouts on neutral North American soil.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "英格蘭" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $399.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "英格蘭" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.