2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

Name: 2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍
Start: 2025-07-02T22:28:24.564Z
End: 2026-07-20T00:00:00.000Z

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 — 討論

Withayk · 2025-07-02T22:28:24.564Z

關於2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

運動·足球

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 15.4%

英格蘭 12.8%

法國 10.5%

阿根廷 10.2%

$367,057,575 交易量

Jul 20, 2026

賺 4% 收益

西班牙

$4,372,992 交易量

15%

英格蘭

$4,798,590 交易量

13%

法國

$3,645,507 交易量

11%

阿根廷

$4,892,744 交易量

10%

巴西

$5,685,533 交易量

葡萄牙

$7,638,424 交易量

德國

$6,143,290 交易量

荷蘭

$8,286,944 交易量

挪威

$7,079,806 交易量

意大利

$6,462,355 交易量

比利時

$6,574,708 交易量

美國

$4,151,747 交易量

摩洛哥

$7,980,469 交易量

哥倫比亞

$6,554,677 交易量

日本

$8,208,782 交易量

烏拉圭

$6,344,999 交易量

克羅埃西亞

$7,317,355 交易量

墨西哥

$6,344,592 交易量

厄瓜多

$8,372,353 交易量

瑞士

$7,718,261 交易量

塞內加爾

$7,864,761 交易量

加拿大

$10,825,040 交易量

奧地利

$8,988,832 交易量

南韓

$12,188,323 交易量

巴拉圭

$9,668,222 交易量

<1%

象牙海岸

$7,530,414 交易量

<1%

蘇格蘭

$9,752,407 交易量

<1%

澳洲

$7,317,069 交易量

<1%

埃及

$8,832,967 交易量

<1%

加納

$6,724,578 交易量

<1%

阿爾及利亞

$8,614,296 交易量

<1%

突尼西亞

$8,223,779 交易量

<1%

南非

$17,526,733 交易量

<1%

卡達

$9,751,243 交易量

<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯

$15,815,221 交易量

<1%

紐西蘭

$13,817,673 交易量

<1%

海地

$8,672,636 交易量

<1%

約旦

$13,036,277 交易量

<1%

庫拉索

$11,232,241 交易量

<1%

伊朗

$9,491,911 交易量

<1%

烏茲別克

$24,918,972 交易量

<1%

佛得角

$7,439,194 交易量

<1%

西班牙 15.4%

英格蘭 12.8%

法國 10.5%

阿根廷 10.2%

$367,057,575 交易量

Jul 20, 2026

賺 4% 收益

西班牙

$4,372,992 交易量

15%

英格蘭

$4,798,590 交易量

13%

法國

$3,645,507 交易量

11%

阿根廷

$4,892,744 交易量

10%

巴西

$5,685,533 交易量

葡萄牙

$7,638,424 交易量

德國

$6,143,290 交易量

荷蘭

$8,286,944 交易量

挪威

$7,079,806 交易量

意大利

$6,462,355 交易量

比利時

$6,574,708 交易量

美國

$4,151,747 交易量

摩洛哥

$7,980,469 交易量

哥倫比亞

$6,554,677 交易量

日本

$8,208,782 交易量

烏拉圭

$6,344,999 交易量

克羅埃西亞

$7,317,355 交易量

墨西哥

$6,344,592 交易量

厄瓜多

$8,372,353 交易量

瑞士

$7,718,261 交易量

塞內加爾

$7,864,761 交易量

加拿大

$10,825,040 交易量

奧地利

$8,988,832 交易量

南韓

$12,188,323 交易量

巴拉圭

$9,668,222 交易量

<1%

象牙海岸

$7,530,414 交易量

<1%

蘇格蘭

$9,752,407 交易量

<1%

澳洲

$7,317,069 交易量

<1%

埃及

$8,832,967 交易量

<1%

加納

$6,724,578 交易量

<1%

阿爾及利亞

$8,614,296 交易量

<1%

突尼西亞

$8,223,779 交易量

<1%

南非

$17,526,733 交易量

<1%

卡達

$9,751,243 交易量

<1%

沙烏地阿拉伯

$15,815,221 交易量

<1%

紐西蘭

$13,817,673 交易量

<1%

海地

$8,672,636 交易量

<1%

約旦

$13,036,277 交易量

<1%

庫拉索

$11,232,241 交易量

<1%

伊朗

$9,491,911 交易量

<1%

烏茲別克

$24,918,972 交易量

<1%

佛得角

$7,439,194 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Spain's Euro 2024 victory, powered by a youthful golden generation including Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams, has propelled them to the top of trader consensus at 15.4% implied probability for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, yet the race stays razor-tight with England, France, Argentina, and Brazil clustered within seven points. Recent international triumphs—England's final run, Argentina's Copa America title defense, France's perennial depth led by Mbappé—fuel optimism, but uncertainties loom large: Messi's advancing age (39 by tournament time), Brazil's post-Neymar rebuild, ongoing qualifiers, and an expanded 48-team format introducing greater parity. North American hosts USA, Mexico, and Canada gain slight edges from home-soil momentum, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing this long-horizon volatility.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 25, 2026, 7:48 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 15%, followed by "英格蘭" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $367.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "英格蘭" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $367.1 million traded on “2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 15¢ for "西班牙" in the "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 15% chance that "西班牙" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 15¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 85¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jul 20, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " market has an active community of 418 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

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評論 (418)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " prediction market?

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What does a price of 15¢ for "西班牙" mean?

When does the "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " market close?

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