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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

Market icon

2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 15.8%

英格蘭 12.7%

法國 11.8%

阿根廷 9.7%

Polymarket

$437,602,664 交易量

西班牙 15.8%

英格蘭 12.7%

法國 11.8%

阿根廷 9.7%

Polymarket

$437,602,664 交易量

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西班牙

$5,955,429 交易量

16%

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英格蘭

$6,662,145 交易量

13%

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法國

$4,617,105 交易量

12%

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阿根廷

$6,960,496 交易量

10%

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巴西

$6,430,436 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$8,126,897 交易量

7%

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德國

$6,805,014 交易量

5%

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荷蘭

$9,015,493 交易量

3%

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挪威

$7,451,066 交易量

3%

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意大利

$7,953,316 交易量

3%

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比利時

$7,488,321 交易量

2%

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哥倫比亞

$7,098,787 交易量

2%

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美國

$4,668,730 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$8,884,265 交易量

2%

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日本

$8,614,275 交易量

1%

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烏拉圭

$7,398,055 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$6,717,351 交易量

1%

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克羅埃西亞

$7,895,696 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$8,327,075 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多

$8,828,391 交易量

1%

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塞內加爾

$8,159,183 交易量

1%

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加拿大

$11,538,110 交易量

1%

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奧地利

$10,160,143 交易量

1%

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南韓

$13,318,863 交易量

<1%

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巴拉圭

$11,598,529 交易量

<1%

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象牙海岸

$8,944,249 交易量

<1%

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加納

$10,114,535 交易量

<1%

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阿爾及利亞

$10,941,610 交易量

<1%

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蘇格蘭

$11,010,827 交易量

<1%

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突尼西亞

$11,069,430 交易量

<1%

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澳洲

$8,113,462 交易量

<1%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$17,509,772 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$10,366,893 交易量

<1%

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海地

$12,410,042 交易量

<1%

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約旦

$16,445,607 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$11,422,060 交易量

<1%

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南非

$19,427,541 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$10,426,390 交易量

<1%

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卡達

$11,448,823 交易量

<1%

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紐西蘭

$16,508,424 交易量

<1%

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庫拉索

$23,252,392 交易量

<1%

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烏茲別克

$27,295,762 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain commands trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, propelled by Euro 2024 glory, unmatched midfield depth with Rodri, Pedri, and Lamine Yamal's breakout form, plus flawless March qualifiers against weaker foes like Lithuania. Yet, a wave of injuries in the past two weeks—including Brazil's Rodrygo (ACL tear), Raphinha, England's Phil Foden, Spain's Nico Williams and Mikel Merino—has leveled the field, capping leaders below 16% and fueling tight competition with England (12.7%), France (11.8%), and Argentina (9.7%). Qualified powerhouses' parity, squad rotations amid club fatigue, and balanced group draws keep the race wide-open ahead of the June 11 kickoff across North American venues.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$437,602,664
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain commands trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, propelled by Euro 2024 glory, unmatched midfield depth with Rodri, Pedri, and Lamine Yamal's breakout form, plus flawless March qualifiers against weaker foes like Lithuania. Yet, a wave of injuries in the past two weeks—including Brazil's Rodrygo (ACL tear), Raphinha, England's Phil Foden, Spain's Nico Williams and Mikel Merino—has leveled the field, capping leaders below 16% and fueling tight competition with England (12.7%), France (11.8%), and Argentina (9.7%). Qualified powerhouses' parity, squad rotations amid club fatigue, and balanced group draws keep the race wide-open ahead of the June 11 kickoff across North American venues.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$437,602,664
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "英格蘭" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $437.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "英格蘭" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.