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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

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2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍

西班牙 16.1%

法國 13.0%

英格蘭 12.0%

阿根廷 9.3%

Polymarket

$468,617,311 交易量

西班牙 16.1%

法國 13.0%

英格蘭 12.0%

阿根廷 9.3%

Polymarket

$468,617,311 交易量

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西班牙

$6,924,003 交易量

16%

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法國

$5,671,536 交易量

13%

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英格蘭

$7,582,665 交易量

12%

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阿根廷

$7,730,107 交易量

9%

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巴西

$7,280,738 交易量

9%

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葡萄牙

$8,755,351 交易量

7%

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德國

$7,028,256 交易量

5%

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荷蘭

$9,482,291 交易量

3%

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挪威

$7,748,821 交易量

3%

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比利時

$7,788,879 交易量

2%

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日本

$9,542,551 交易量

2%

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哥倫比亞

$7,499,184 交易量

2%

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美國

$4,763,705 交易量

2%

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摩洛哥

$9,311,553 交易量

2%

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烏拉圭

$7,633,372 交易量

1%

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克羅埃西亞

$8,002,619 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$8,923,190 交易量

1%

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墨西哥

$6,862,355 交易量

1%

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厄瓜多

$9,241,029 交易量

1%

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土耳其

$910,683 交易量

1%

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塞內加爾

$8,899,854 交易量

1%

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瑞典

$640,321 交易量

1%

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加拿大

$11,970,089 交易量

1%

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奧地利

$10,763,760 交易量

1%

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南韓

$13,866,832 交易量

<1%

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波斯尼亞與赫塞哥維納

$750,509 交易量

<1%

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巴拉圭

$12,024,687 交易量

<1%

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象牙海岸

$9,461,129 交易量

<1%

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埃及

$11,079,591 交易量

<1%

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加納

$10,591,161 交易量

<1%

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阿爾及利亞

$11,334,177 交易量

<1%

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蘇格蘭

$11,380,558 交易量

<1%

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突尼西亞

$11,565,742 交易量

<1%

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捷克

$162,948 交易量

<1%

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澳洲

$8,428,933 交易量

<1%

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沙烏地阿拉伯

$17,888,886 交易量

<1%

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海地

$12,782,106 交易量

<1%

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約旦

$16,834,988 交易量

<1%

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伊朗

$11,897,496 交易量

<1%

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烏茲別克

$28,150,991 交易量

<1%

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巴拿馬

$1,619,485 交易量

<1%

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伊拉克

$2,272,745 交易量

<1%

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南非

$19,840,356 交易量

<1%

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剛果民主共和國

$277,653 交易量

<1%

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佛得角

$10,822,585 交易量

<1%

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卡達

$13,753,457 交易量

<1%

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紐西蘭

$17,512,236 交易量

<1%

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庫拉索

$24,477,162 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus at 16.1% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup following a dominant qualification campaign, capped by an almost flawless run through UEFA qualifiers ending March 31, including no defeats in 31 straight matches and their Euro 2024 triumph providing momentum with stars like Yamal, Pedri, and Rodri in peak form. France (13.0%) and England (11.9%) trail closely, buoyed by recent Nations League showings and deep squads, while Argentina (9.3%) and Brazil (8.6%) hold firm on South American qualification strength and Messi-led pedigree. The bunched top probabilities reflect the expanded 48-team field's parity, with multiple European powerhouses, CONMEBOL giants, and surprise qualifiers like Curaçao creating knockout volatility and no clear dynasty amid aging legends and rising talents.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$468,617,311
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus at 16.1% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup following a dominant qualification campaign, capped by an almost flawless run through UEFA qualifiers ending March 31, including no defeats in 31 straight matches and their Euro 2024 triumph providing momentum with stars like Yamal, Pedri, and Rodri in peak form. France (13.0%) and England (11.9%) trail closely, buoyed by recent Nations League showings and deep squads, while Argentina (9.3%) and Brazil (8.6%) hold firm on South American qualification strength and Messi-led pedigree. The bunched top probabilities reflect the expanded 48-team field's parity, with multiple European powerhouses, CONMEBOL giants, and surprise qualifiers like Curaçao creating knockout volatility and no clear dynasty amid aging legends and rising talents.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$468,617,311
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙" at 16%, followed by "法國" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " has generated $468.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " is "西班牙" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年世界盃足球賽冠軍 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.