Mercedes' W17 has dominated the opening rounds of the 2026 F1 season, propelling teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to the top of the drivers' standings with 51 and 47 points respectively after one-two finishes in Australia and China, where Antonelli secured his maiden Grand Prix victory ahead of Russell last weekend. Russell's consistent podiums and Sprint win give him the trader consensus edge at 48.5% implied probability for the title, while Antonelli's raw pace—highlighted by his second consecutive pole at Suzuka for the upcoming Japanese Grand Prix—fuels his 31.7% share amid an intra-team battle. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc (6.3%) trails after third in China, with Red Bull's Max Verstappen and McLaren's duo struggling for podium contention, underscoring Mercedes' superior power unit and energy management.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於喬治·羅素 49%
Kimi Antonelli 31.7%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾 6.3%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓 3.5%
$63,083,877 交易量
$63,083,877 交易量
喬治·羅素
49%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
6%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
3%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
2%
蘭多·諾里斯
2%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
2%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
費爾南多·阿隆索
<1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
<1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
<1%
喬治·羅素 49%
Kimi Antonelli 31.7%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾 6.3%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓 3.5%
$63,083,877 交易量
$63,083,877 交易量
喬治·羅素
49%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
6%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
3%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
2%
蘭多·諾里斯
2%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
2%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
費爾南多·阿隆索
<1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
<1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' W17 has dominated the opening rounds of the 2026 F1 season, propelling teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to the top of the drivers' standings with 51 and 47 points respectively after one-two finishes in Australia and China, where Antonelli secured his maiden Grand Prix victory ahead of Russell last weekend. Russell's consistent podiums and Sprint win give him the trader consensus edge at 48.5% implied probability for the title, while Antonelli's raw pace—highlighted by his second consecutive pole at Suzuka for the upcoming Japanese Grand Prix—fuels his 31.7% share amid an intra-team battle. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc (6.3%) trails after third in China, with Red Bull's Max Verstappen and McLaren's duo struggling for podium contention, underscoring Mercedes' superior power unit and energy management.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions