Mercedes' late-2024 surge, including podiums in Qatar, Las Vegas, and Abu Dhabi Grand Prix weekends, has solidified trader consensus around George Russell as the 2025 Drivers' Champion favorite at 55.5% implied probability, bolstered by his consistent podium threat and the team's stable lineup alongside rookie sensation Kimi Antonelli. Antonelli's commanding F2 title run and confirmed Mercedes promotion elevate him to 16.7%, signaling high expectations for the young talent in a competitive car. Charles Leclerc (7.7%) and incoming Ferrari teammate Lewis Hamilton (6.6%) lag due to the Scuderia's erratic pace and reliability woes this season, while Max Verstappen's 5.0% reflects Red Bull's constructors' slide, Sergio Pérez's axing, and Liam Lawson's integration uncertainties ahead of the final pre-2026 regulation year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於喬治·羅素 56%
Kimi Antonelli 16.3%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾 7.7%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓 6.6%
$56,003,854 交易量
$56,003,854 交易量
喬治·羅素
56%
Kimi Antonelli
16%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
8%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
7%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
5%
蘭多·諾里斯
2%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
1%
費爾南多·阿隆索
1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
1%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
喬治·羅素 56%
Kimi Antonelli 16.3%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾 7.7%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓 6.6%
$56,003,854 交易量
$56,003,854 交易量
喬治·羅素
56%
Kimi Antonelli
16%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
8%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
7%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
5%
蘭多·諾里斯
2%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
1%
費爾南多·阿隆索
1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
1%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' late-2024 surge, including podiums in Qatar, Las Vegas, and Abu Dhabi Grand Prix weekends, has solidified trader consensus around George Russell as the 2025 Drivers' Champion favorite at 55.5% implied probability, bolstered by his consistent podium threat and the team's stable lineup alongside rookie sensation Kimi Antonelli. Antonelli's commanding F2 title run and confirmed Mercedes promotion elevate him to 16.7%, signaling high expectations for the young talent in a competitive car. Charles Leclerc (7.7%) and incoming Ferrari teammate Lewis Hamilton (6.6%) lag due to the Scuderia's erratic pace and reliability woes this season, while Max Verstappen's 5.0% reflects Red Bull's constructors' slide, Sergio Pérez's axing, and Liam Lawson's integration uncertainties ahead of the final pre-2026 regulation year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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