Manchester City tops trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability to win the 2025-26 FA Cup, driven by their second-place Premier League standing with 61 points from 30 games and deep squad rotation despite key defensive absences like Rúben Dias (hamstring), Joško Gvardiol (broken leg until June), and John Stones (calf). Chelsea follows at 23.0% amid ongoing injury concerns for Reece James and Levi Colwill but bolstered by heavy transfer investments and a favorable quarterfinal path versus Port Vale. Leeds United's 8.9% reflects momentum from their dominant 3-0 fifth-round victory over Norwich, positioning the Championship side as a realistic underdog with promotion push potential. West Ham (6.8%) advanced past Brentford on penalties, while in-form Southampton (3.9%) gains traction after troubling Arsenal in recent cup action, highlighting FA Cup upset risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於曼城 60%
切爾西 23%
利茲聯足球會 9.0%
西漢姆聯 6.8%
$400,569 交易量
$400,569 交易量
曼城
60%
切爾西
23%
利茲聯足球會
9%
西漢姆聯
7%
南安普頓
4%
曼城 60%
切爾西 23%
利茲聯足球會 9.0%
西漢姆聯 6.8%
$400,569 交易量
$400,569 交易量
曼城
60%
切爾西
23%
利茲聯足球會
9%
西漢姆聯
7%
南安普頓
4%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 22, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Manchester City tops trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability to win the 2025-26 FA Cup, driven by their second-place Premier League standing with 61 points from 30 games and deep squad rotation despite key defensive absences like Rúben Dias (hamstring), Joško Gvardiol (broken leg until June), and John Stones (calf). Chelsea follows at 23.0% amid ongoing injury concerns for Reece James and Levi Colwill but bolstered by heavy transfer investments and a favorable quarterfinal path versus Port Vale. Leeds United's 8.9% reflects momentum from their dominant 3-0 fifth-round victory over Norwich, positioning the Championship side as a realistic underdog with promotion push potential. West Ham (6.8%) advanced past Brentford on penalties, while in-form Southampton (3.9%) gains traction after troubling Arsenal in recent cup action, highlighting FA Cup upset risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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