Market icon

以色列會在1月31日前對黎巴嫩發動大規模地面攻勢嗎?

2% chance

$83,654 交易量

規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$83,654
結束日期
Jan 31, 2026
建立於
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

注意外部連結。

Market icon

以色列會在1月31日前對黎巴嫩發動大規模地面攻勢嗎?

2% chance

$83,654 交易量

關於

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$83,654
結束日期
Jan 31, 2026
建立於
Jan 7, 2026, 5:23 PM ET

注意外部連結。