World predictions & odds

·
US strikes Iran by...?

World

Politics

US strikes Iran by...?

59%

June 30

$75m 交易量

$3m today

$516k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Vietnam Communist Party General Secretary Election

World

Politics

Vietnam Communist Party General Secretary Election

92%

To Lam

$8m 交易量

$3m today

$222k Liq.

106

Ends in 3 days

US next strikes Iran on...?

World

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

80%

No strike by January 31

$12m 交易量

$2m today

$461k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Portugal Presidential Election

World

Politics

Portugal Presidential Election

97%

António José Seguro (IND)

$122m 交易量

$752k today

$5m Liq.

1,548

Ends in 17 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

World

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

2%

$19m 交易量

$747k today

$452k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Bank of Japan decision in January?

World

Economy

Bank of Japan decision in January?

99%

No change

$3m 交易量

$554k today

$208k Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Who will Trump meet with in January?

World

Politics

Who will Trump meet with in January?

98%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$1m 交易量

$511k today

$67.2k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

World

Politics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

51%

January 29

$4m 交易量

$474k today

$27.5k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

World

Elections

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

95%

Lê Minh Hưng

$481k 交易量

$317k today

$128k Liq.

6

Ends in 3 days

Next Country US Strikes

World

Iran

Next Country US Strikes

67%

Somalia

$1m 交易量

$286k today

$74.4k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

World

Politics

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?

<1%

$4m 交易量

$267k today

$173k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

World

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

14%

$10m 交易量

$260k today

$725k Liq.

20,361

Ends in 2 months

Costa Rica Presidential Election

World

Politics

Costa Rica Presidential Election

88%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

$1m 交易量

$228k today

$341k Liq.

79

Ends in 10 days

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

World

Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

12%

$7m 交易量

$194k today

$512k Liq.

71

Ends in 11 months

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

World

Politics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

89%

December 31

$5m 交易量

$188k today

$131k Liq.

132

Ends in 24 days

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

World

Politics

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

4%

$196k 交易量

$165k today

$10.1k Liq.

10

Ends in about 16 hours

Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?

World

Politics

Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?

87%

$215k 交易量

$151k today

$7.4k Liq.

99

Ends in about 16 hours

Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?

World

Politics

Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?

85%

Javier Milei

$198k 交易量

$142k today

$44.4k Liq.

19

Ends in about 16 hours

Paris Mayoral Election

World

Politics

Paris Mayoral Election

56%

Emmanuel Grégoire

$1m 交易量

$134k today

$314k Liq.

191

Ends in 2 months

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

World

Politics

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

35%

$388k 交易量

$130k today

$31.9k Liq.

Ends in 2 months