以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?
$1,861,780 交易量
1月22日
$30,125 交易量
1%
1月22日
$30,125 交易量
1%
1月23日
$11,087 交易量
27%
1月23日
$11,087 交易量
27%
1月24日
$2,233 交易量
33%
1月24日
$2,233 交易量
33%
1月25日
$54 交易量
41%
1月25日
$54 交易量
41%
1月26日
$183 交易量
41%
1月26日
$183 交易量
41%
1月27日
$259 交易量
35%
1月27日
$259 交易量
35%
1月28日
$61 交易量
44%
1月28日
$61 交易量
44%
1月29日
$27 交易量
47%
1月29日
$27 交易量
47%
1月30日
$23 交易量
47%
1月30日
$23 交易量
47%
1月31日
$31 交易量
46%
1月31日
$31 交易量
46%
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
创建于: Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ET
交易量
$1,861,780结束日期
Jan 31, 2026创建于
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?
$1,861,780 交易量
1月22日
$30,125 交易量
1%
1月23日
$11,087 交易量
27%
1月24日
$2,233 交易量
33%
1月25日
$54 交易量
41%
1月26日
$183 交易量
41%
1月27日
$259 交易量
35%
1月28日
$61 交易量
44%
1月29日
$27 交易量
47%
1月30日
$23 交易量
47%
1月31日
$31 交易量
46%
关于
交易量
$1,861,780结束日期
Jan 31, 2026创建于
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。

注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。