Market icon

以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?

Jan 31

$1,815,336 交易量

Jan 31, 2026

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.

A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.

If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$1,815,336
结束日期
Jan 31, 2026
创建于
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ET

注意外部链接。

Market icon

以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?

Jan 31

$1,815,336 交易量

1月20日

$26,228 交易量

1%

1月22日

$8,440 交易量

60%

1月23日

$3,224 交易量

34%

1月24日

$1,917 交易量

38%

1月25日

$23 交易量

46%

1月26日

$45 交易量

47%

1月27日

$12 交易量

48%

1月28日

$12 交易量

45%

1月29日

$12 交易量

48%

1月30日

$10 交易量

48%

1月31日

$28 交易量

46%

关于

交易量
$1,815,336
结束日期
Jan 31, 2026
创建于
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ET

注意外部链接。