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中国会在2026年3月31日前入侵台湾吗?

2% chance

$1,540,796 交易量

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,540,796
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
创建于
Nov 24, 2025, 12:47 PM ET

注意外部链接。

Market icon

中国会在2026年3月31日前入侵台湾吗?

2% chance

$1,540,796 交易量

关于

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,540,796
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
创建于
Nov 24, 2025, 12:47 PM ET

注意外部链接。