Trump approval rating on July 4?
44.5–44.9% 100.0%
<44.5% <1%
45.0–45.4% <1%
45.5–45.9% <1%
$158,768 交易量
$158,768 交易量
Jul 4, 2025
<44.5%
$18,101 交易量
No
<44.5%
$18,101 交易量
No
44.5–44.9%
$49,033 交易量
Yes
44.5–44.9%
$49,033 交易量
Yes
45.0–45.4%
$21,778 交易量
No
45.0–45.4%
$21,778 交易量
No
45.5–45.9%
$11,764 交易量
No
45.5–45.9%
$11,764 交易量
No
46.0–46.4%
$10,689 交易量
No
46.0–46.4%
$10,689 交易量
No
≥46.5%
$47,403 交易量
No
≥46.5%
$47,403 交易量
No
规则
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 4, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
创建于： Jun 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ET
交易量
$158,768结束日期
Jul 4, 2025创建于
Jun 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trump approval rating on July 4?
44.5–44.9% 100.0%
<44.5% <1%
45.0–45.4% <1%
45.5–45.9% <1%
$158,768 交易量
$158,768 交易量
Jul 4, 2025
<44.5%
$18,101 交易量
No
44.5–44.9%
$49,033 交易量
Yes
45.0–45.4%
$21,778 交易量
No
45.5–45.9%
$11,764 交易量
No
46.0–46.4%
$10,689 交易量
No
≥46.5%
$47,403 交易量
No
关于
交易量
$158,768结束日期
Jul 4, 2025创建于
Jun 27, 2025, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。