Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Xi Jinping remaining in power as CCP General Secretary beyond June 30, driven by his unchallenged control following extensive military purges, including death sentences with reprieve for former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu announced early May, interpreted as efforts to root out corruption and disloyalty rather than signs of weakness. No verified health issues, coup rumors, or factional challenges have emerged in the past 30 days, with Xi actively engaging in diplomacy, such as youth encouragement speeches and foreign talks. While economic pressures persist, structural barriers like term limit abolition and Politburo loyalty sustain high confidence; only a sudden health crisis, elite revolt, or mass unrest could shift odds dramatically.