Jon Bonck holds commanding trader consensus at over 90% implied probability to win the TX-38 Republican primary runoff on May 26, driven by his dominant 47.7% in the March 3 primary among 10 candidates, well ahead of Shelly deZevallos's 18.6%, which advanced her as the challenger in this open seat vacated by Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Bonck's February Trump endorsement, backing from Ted Cruz and Speaker Mike Johnson, and superior fundraising—$1.4 million raised with $438,000 cash on hand versus deZevallos's $930,000—have solidified his frontrunner status, as affirmed by Cook Political Report rating him the heavy favorite. With early voting starting May 18, an upset would require a deZevallos debate surge, late GOP defection, scandal hitting Bonck, or turnout favoring her congressional and local endorsements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-38 Republican Primary Winner
TX-38 Republican Primary Winner
Jon Bonck 94.4%
Shelly deZevallos 2.8%
Barrett McNabb 1.9%
Jennifer Sundt 1.3%
$38,870 KL.
$38,870 KL.
Jon Bonck
94%
Shelly deZevallos
3%
Barrett McNabb
2%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Larry Rubin
1%
Michael Pratt
1%
Craig Goralski
1%
Carmen Montiel
1%
Jeff Yuna
<1%
Avery Ayers
<1%
Jon Bonck 94.4%
Shelly deZevallos 2.8%
Barrett McNabb 1.9%
Jennifer Sundt 1.3%
$38,870 KL.
$38,870 KL.
Jon Bonck
94%
Shelly deZevallos
3%
Barrett McNabb
2%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Larry Rubin
1%
Michael Pratt
1%
Craig Goralski
1%
Carmen Montiel
1%
Jeff Yuna
<1%
Avery Ayers
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck holds commanding trader consensus at over 90% implied probability to win the TX-38 Republican primary runoff on May 26, driven by his dominant 47.7% in the March 3 primary among 10 candidates, well ahead of Shelly deZevallos's 18.6%, which advanced her as the challenger in this open seat vacated by Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Bonck's February Trump endorsement, backing from Ted Cruz and Speaker Mike Johnson, and superior fundraising—$1.4 million raised with $438,000 cash on hand versus deZevallos's $930,000—have solidified his frontrunner status, as affirmed by Cook Political Report rating him the heavy favorite. With early voting starting May 18, an upset would require a deZevallos debate surge, late GOP defection, scandal hitting Bonck, or turnout favoring her congressional and local endorsements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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