Tesla shares closed July 31 at $311.21 amid mixed Q2 2026 results that featured record $28.2 billion revenue but a sharp miss on non-GAAP EPS at $0.33 versus expectations near $0.53, reflecting operating-margin compression to 1.4% and weaker automotive profitability. Traders are pricing a tight distribution around current levels because near-term catalysts remain limited, with attention focused on delivery trends, Full Self-Driving adoption, regulatory-credit revenue, and competitive pressures from Chinese EV makers. The spread in implied probabilities across the $300–$320 bands underscores uncertainty over whether post-earnings sentiment stabilizes or yields further volatility before the August 7 close, consistent with the stock’s recent 52-week low near $297 and elevated trading volumes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật>$330 16%
$300-$305 13%
$305-$310 13%
$310-$315 13%
<$285
11%
$285-$290
7%
$290-$295
9%
$295-$300
8%
$300-$305
13%
$305-$310
13%
$310-$315
13%
$315-$320
12%
$320-$325
10%
$325-$330
8%
>$330
16%
>$330 16%
$300-$305 13%
$305-$310 13%
$310-$315 13%
<$285
11%
$285-$290
7%
$290-$295
9%
$295-$300
8%
$300-$305
13%
$305-$310
13%
$310-$315
13%
$315-$320
12%
$320-$325
10%
$325-$330
8%
>$330
16%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed July 31 at $311.21 amid mixed Q2 2026 results that featured record $28.2 billion revenue but a sharp miss on non-GAAP EPS at $0.33 versus expectations near $0.53, reflecting operating-margin compression to 1.4% and weaker automotive profitability. Traders are pricing a tight distribution around current levels because near-term catalysts remain limited, with attention focused on delivery trends, Full Self-Driving adoption, regulatory-credit revenue, and competitive pressures from Chinese EV makers. The spread in implied probabilities across the $300–$320 bands underscores uncertainty over whether post-earnings sentiment stabilizes or yields further volatility before the August 7 close, consistent with the stock’s recent 52-week low near $297 and elevated trading volumes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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