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icon for Trump negative approval before May?

Trump negative approval before May?

icon for Trump negative approval before May?

Trump negative approval before May?

>99% khả năng
Polymarket

$84,278 KL.

>99% khả năng
Polymarket

$84,278 KL.

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify.

The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered.

Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$84,278
Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2025
Thị trường mở
Feb 10, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Kết quả đề xuất: Yes

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify.

The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered.

Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$84,278
Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2025
Thị trường mở
Feb 10, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Kết quả đề xuất: Yes

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Trump negative approval before May?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần "Có" hoặc "Không" dựa trên việc họ tin sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra hay không. Xác suất cộng đồng hiện tại là 100% cho "Yes." Ví dụ, nếu "Có" ở giá 100¢, thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 100% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Trump negative approval before May?" đã tạo $84.3K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Feb 10, 2025. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Trump negative approval before May?," chỉ cần chọn bạn tin câu trả lời là "Có" hay "Không." Mỗi phía có giá hiện tại phản ánh xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu bạn mua cổ phần "Có" và kết quả là "Có," mỗi cổ phần trả $1. Nếu kết quả là "Không," cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Xác suất hiện tại cho "Trump negative approval before May?" là 100% cho "Yes." Điều này có nghĩa cộng đồng Polymarket hiện tin rằng có 100% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này cập nhật theo thời gian thực dựa trên giao dịch thực tế, cung cấp tín hiệu liên tục cập nhật về điều thị trường kỳ vọng sẽ xảy ra.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Trump negative approval before May?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.