Polymarket traders price a 29.5% implied probability for S&P 500 year-end close in the $7,000-$7,500 range, closely contested by 22% odds for below $6,000, reflecting balanced sentiment amid recent record highs near 7,365 driven by robust April nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs and hopes for Iran ceasefire easing oil risks. Sticky March 2026 CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, up from 2.4%, prompted Fed to hold fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75% with notable dissent, tempering rate cut expectations and highlighting inflation-labor tradeoffs as key differentiators. Upcoming April CPI on May 12 and Q2 earnings could sway dynamics, with broker targets clustering around 7,600 on 12% EPS growth forecasts versus recession fears from softening indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
$7,000-$7,500 29%
<$6,000 22%
$6,500-$7,000 18%
$7,500-$8,000 16%
$24,782 KL.
$24,782 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
22%
$6,000-$6,500
25%
$6,500-$7,000
18%
$7,000-$7,500
29%
$7,500-$8,000
16%
>$8,000
12%
$7,000-$7,500 29%
<$6,000 22%
$6,500-$7,000 18%
$7,500-$8,000 16%
$24,782 KL.
$24,782 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$15,484 KL.
22%
$6,000-$6,500
$1,429 KL.
25%
$6,500-$7,000
$2,389 KL.
18%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,114 KL.
29%
$7,500-$8,000
$2,074 KL.
16%
>$8,000
$2,293 KL.
12%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price a 29.5% implied probability for S&P 500 year-end close in the $7,000-$7,500 range, closely contested by 22% odds for below $6,000, reflecting balanced sentiment amid recent record highs near 7,365 driven by robust April nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs and hopes for Iran ceasefire easing oil risks. Sticky March 2026 CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, up from 2.4%, prompted Fed to hold fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75% with notable dissent, tempering rate cut expectations and highlighting inflation-labor tradeoffs as key differentiators. Upcoming April CPI on May 12 and Q2 earnings could sway dynamics, with broker targets clustering around 7,600 on 12% EPS growth forecasts versus recession fears from softening indicators.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Thị trường mở: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,782Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price a 29.5% implied probability for S&P 500 year-end close in the $7,000-$7,500 range, closely contested by 22% odds for below $6,000, reflecting balanced sentiment amid recent record highs near 7,365 driven by robust April nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs and hopes for Iran ceasefire easing oil risks. Sticky March 2026 CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, up from 2.4%, prompted Fed to hold fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75% with notable dissent, tempering rate cut expectations and highlighting inflation-labor tradeoffs as key differentiators. Upcoming April CPI on May 12 and Q2 earnings could sway dynamics, with broker targets clustering around 7,600 on 12% EPS growth forecasts versus recession fears from softening indicators.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Khối lượng
$24,782Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 29.5% implied probability for S&P 500 year-end close in the $7,000-$7,500 range, closely contested by 22% odds for below $6,000, reflecting balanced sentiment amid recent record highs near 7,365 driven by robust April nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs and hopes for Iran ceasefire easing oil risks. Sticky March 2026 CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, up from 2.4%, prompted Fed to hold fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75% with notable dissent, tempering rate cut expectations and highlighting inflation-labor tradeoffs as key differentiators. Upcoming April CPI on May 12 and Q2 earnings could sway dynamics, with broker targets clustering around 7,600 on 12% EPS growth forecasts versus recession fears from softening indicators.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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