The snap general election called for November 29 has elevated expectations for turnout, with estimates centering near 74 percent—above the 70.4 percent recorded in 2023 and the post-1977 average. This positioning reflects the high-stakes contest over housing affordability, which triggered nationwide protests and parliamentary defeats for the government, alongside broader polarization between the PSOE-led coalition and the leading PP-Vox bloc. A larger electoral census, including roughly 1.6 million new first-time voters and expanded overseas registration, supports mobilization potential. Recent polling shows consistent right-wing leads, which typically sustains engagement across voter blocs, while the abbreviated campaign window limits erosion of interest. These dynamics underpin trader consensus favoring outcomes at or above 70 percent.