**Anthropic leads market-implied odds for second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab at month-end because its Claude models, especially Fable 5.1, continue to post competitive results on agentic web development tasks even after OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra took the top leaderboard spot in early September.** Recent Code Arena updates show Astra pulling ahead on fullstack metrics such as database integration, auth flows, and live deployments, yet Anthropic’s models remain within striking distance on the same human-voted WebDev leaderboard while demonstrating stronger enterprise adoption and consistent performance across broader coding benchmarks like SWE-bench variants and Terminal-Bench. Traders appear to view Anthropic’s recent safeguard and agent-policy refinements as supporting sustained second-place positioning through late September, with limited upside for other labs given their much lower visibility in the arena.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 75.9%
OpenAI 21.9%
Alibaba 2.5%
Moonshot 1.0%
$73,105 KL.
$73,105 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
76%
OpenAI
22%
Alibaba
3%
Moonshot
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Z.ai
<1%
Tencent
<1%
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 75.9%
OpenAI 21.9%
Alibaba 2.5%
Moonshot 1.0%
$73,105 KL.
$73,105 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$15,055 KL.
76%
OpenAI
$10,198 KL.
22%
Alibaba
$17,096 KL.
3%
Moonshot
$12,232 KL.
1%
SpaceXAI
$2,388 KL.
1%
Z.ai
$1,945 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$1,824 KL.
<1%
$1,736 KL.
<1%
Meta
$1,709 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$3,054 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$598 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,468 KL.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,022 KL.
<1%
Thinky
$617 KL.
<1%
Poolside
$1,035 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$1,130 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Anthropic leads market-implied odds for second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab at month-end because its Claude models, especially Fable 5.1, continue to post competitive results on agentic web development tasks even after OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra took the top leaderboard spot in early September.** Recent Code Arena updates show Astra pulling ahead on fullstack metrics such as database integration, auth flows, and live deployments, yet Anthropic’s models remain within striking distance on the same human-voted WebDev leaderboard while demonstrating stronger enterprise adoption and consistent performance across broader coding benchmarks like SWE-bench variants and Terminal-Bench. Traders appear to view Anthropic’s recent safeguard and agent-policy refinements as supporting sustained second-place positioning through late September, with limited upside for other labs given their much lower visibility in the arena.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
Khối lượng
$73,105Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Anthropic leads market-implied odds for second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab at month-end because its Claude models, especially Fable 5.1, continue to post competitive results on agentic web development tasks even after OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra took the top leaderboard spot in early September.** Recent Code Arena updates show Astra pulling ahead on fullstack metrics such as database integration, auth flows, and live deployments, yet Anthropic’s models remain within striking distance on the same human-voted WebDev leaderboard while demonstrating stronger enterprise adoption and consistent performance across broader coding benchmarks like SWE-bench variants and Terminal-Bench. Traders appear to view Anthropic’s recent safeguard and agent-policy refinements as supporting sustained second-place positioning through late September, with limited upside for other labs given their much lower visibility in the arena.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$73,105Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labsNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Anthropic leads market-implied odds for second-best Code Arena WebDev AI lab at month-end because its Claude models, especially Fable 5.1, continue to post competitive results on agentic web development tasks even after OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra took the top leaderboard spot in early September.** Recent Code Arena updates show Astra pulling ahead on fullstack metrics such as database integration, auth flows, and live deployments, yet Anthropic’s models remain within striking distance on the same human-voted WebDev leaderboard while demonstrating stronger enterprise adoption and consistent performance across broader coding benchmarks like SWE-bench variants and Terminal-Bench. Traders appear to view Anthropic’s recent safeguard and agent-policy refinements as supporting sustained second-place positioning through late September, with limited upside for other labs given their much lower visibility in the arena.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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