Trader sentiment for the next Google Gemini Pro model shows closely matched implied probabilities clustered around several mid-June dates, reflecting uncertainty over Google's internal release cadence for its latest large language model. Competitive pressure from rival AI labs, including ongoing capability improvements and benchmark releases by OpenAI and Anthropic, appears to influence timing expectations as Google seeks to maintain positioning in the artificial intelligence market. Key differentiating factors include integration with Android and Google Cloud platforms, demonstrated safety evaluations, and potential feature enhancements such as multimodal capabilities. The absence of a dominant outcome highlights how minor shifts in development milestones or executive announcements could alter resolution, with traders closely monitoring upcoming developer events and official statements for clearer signals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJune 17 30%
June 12 29%
June 23 26%
June 24 24%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
June 26
23%
June 13
3%
June 23
26%
June 24
24%
On or prior to June 2
4%
June 8
3%
June 10
26%
June 20
3%
June 3
4%
June 4
5%
June 5
5%
June 6
2%
June 15
1%
June 21
4%
June 25
27%
June 7
2%
June 9
16%
June 11
1%
June 12
29%
June 14
2%
June 16
30%
June 17
30%
June 18
27%
June 19
3%
June 30
27%
June 22
1%
June 27
4%
June 28
1%
June 29
1%
No release by June 30
3%
June 17 30%
June 12 29%
June 23 26%
June 24 24%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
June 26
$139 KL.
23%
June 13
$193 KL.
3%
June 23
$113 KL.
26%
June 24
$131 KL.
24%
On or prior to June 2
$131 KL.
4%
June 8
$91 KL.
3%
June 10
$111 KL.
26%
June 20
$182 KL.
3%
June 3
$131 KL.
4%
June 4
$149 KL.
5%
June 5
$206 KL.
5%
June 6
$184 KL.
2%
June 15
$70 KL.
1%
June 21
$143 KL.
4%
June 25
$113 KL.
27%
June 7
$211 KL.
2%
June 9
$91 KL.
16%
June 11
$95 KL.
1%
June 12
$159 KL.
29%
June 14
$187 KL.
2%
June 16
$146 KL.
30%
June 17
$113 KL.
30%
June 18
$113 KL.
27%
June 19
$153 KL.
3%
June 30
$113 KL.
27%
June 22
$64 KL.
1%
June 27
$146 KL.
4%
June 28
$261 KL.
1%
June 29
$68 KL.
1%
No release by June 30
$170 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for the next Google Gemini Pro model shows closely matched implied probabilities clustered around several mid-June dates, reflecting uncertainty over Google's internal release cadence for its latest large language model. Competitive pressure from rival AI labs, including ongoing capability improvements and benchmark releases by OpenAI and Anthropic, appears to influence timing expectations as Google seeks to maintain positioning in the artificial intelligence market. Key differentiating factors include integration with Android and Google Cloud platforms, demonstrated safety evaluations, and potential feature enhancements such as multimodal capabilities. The absence of a dominant outcome highlights how minor shifts in development milestones or executive announcements could alter resolution, with traders closely monitoring upcoming developer events and official statements for clearer signals.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,124Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for the next Google Gemini Pro model shows closely matched implied probabilities clustered around several mid-June dates, reflecting uncertainty over Google's internal release cadence for its latest large language model. Competitive pressure from rival AI labs, including ongoing capability improvements and benchmark releases by OpenAI and Anthropic, appears to influence timing expectations as Google seeks to maintain positioning in the artificial intelligence market. Key differentiating factors include integration with Android and Google Cloud platforms, demonstrated safety evaluations, and potential feature enhancements such as multimodal capabilities. The absence of a dominant outcome highlights how minor shifts in development milestones or executive announcements could alter resolution, with traders closely monitoring upcoming developer events and official statements for clearer signals.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$4,124Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the next Google Gemini Pro model shows closely matched implied probabilities clustered around several mid-June dates, reflecting uncertainty over Google's internal release cadence for its latest large language model. Competitive pressure from rival AI labs, including ongoing capability improvements and benchmark releases by OpenAI and Anthropic, appears to influence timing expectations as Google seeks to maintain positioning in the artificial intelligence market. Key differentiating factors include integration with Android and Google Cloud platforms, demonstrated safety evaluations, and potential feature enhancements such as multimodal capabilities. The absence of a dominant outcome highlights how minor shifts in development milestones or executive announcements could alter resolution, with traders closely monitoring upcoming developer events and official statements for clearer signals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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