Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted gross margin, set for release on June 24, carries market-implied odds clustered tightly around the company’s March guidance of approximately 81%. Traders are weighting continued sequential expansion from Q2’s 74.9% level, driven by higher average selling prices, an improved product mix favoring high-bandwidth memory for AI applications, and ongoing cost reductions amid tight industry supply. Analyst consensus sits modestly below guidance at roughly 79.8%, creating a narrow band of outcomes where beats or shortfalls hinge on execution in advanced nodes and sustained pricing power versus peers. With HBM capacity sold out and revenue guided near $33.5 billion, the result will reflect how effectively Micron is capturing structural AI demand relative to broader DRAM and NAND cycles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật82.5%–85% 54%
85%+ 19%
80%–82.5% 7%
<75% 4.6%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 24, 2026
<75%
5%
75%–77.5%
4%
77.5%–80%
4%
80%–82.5%
30%
82.5%–85%
41%
85%+
15%
82.5%–85% 54%
85%+ 19%
80%–82.5% 7%
<75% 4.6%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 24, 2026
<75%
$1,035 KL.
5%
75%–77.5%
$357 KL.
4%
77.5%–80%
$407 KL.
4%
80%–82.5%
$1,484 KL.
30%
82.5%–85%
$495 KL.
41%
85%+
$6,190 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted gross margin, set for release on June 24, carries market-implied odds clustered tightly around the company’s March guidance of approximately 81%. Traders are weighting continued sequential expansion from Q2’s 74.9% level, driven by higher average selling prices, an improved product mix favoring high-bandwidth memory for AI applications, and ongoing cost reductions amid tight industry supply. Analyst consensus sits modestly below guidance at roughly 79.8%, creating a narrow band of outcomes where beats or shortfalls hinge on execution in advanced nodes and sustained pricing power versus peers. With HBM capacity sold out and revenue guided near $33.5 billion, the result will reflect how effectively Micron is capturing structural AI demand relative to broader DRAM and NAND cycles.
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: May 26, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,968Ngày kết thúc
Jun 24, 2026Thị trường mở
May 26, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted gross margin, set for release on June 24, carries market-implied odds clustered tightly around the company’s March guidance of approximately 81%. Traders are weighting continued sequential expansion from Q2’s 74.9% level, driven by higher average selling prices, an improved product mix favoring high-bandwidth memory for AI applications, and ongoing cost reductions amid tight industry supply. Analyst consensus sits modestly below guidance at roughly 79.8%, creating a narrow band of outcomes where beats or shortfalls hinge on execution in advanced nodes and sustained pricing power versus peers. With HBM capacity sold out and revenue guided near $33.5 billion, the result will reflect how effectively Micron is capturing structural AI demand relative to broader DRAM and NAND cycles.
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,968Ngày kết thúc
Jun 24, 2026Thị trường mở
May 26, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Micron’s fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted gross margin, set for release on June 24, carries market-implied odds clustered tightly around the company’s March guidance of approximately 81%. Traders are weighting continued sequential expansion from Q2’s 74.9% level, driven by higher average selling prices, an improved product mix favoring high-bandwidth memory for AI applications, and ongoing cost reductions amid tight industry supply. Analyst consensus sits modestly below guidance at roughly 79.8%, creating a narrow band of outcomes where beats or shortfalls hinge on execution in advanced nodes and sustained pricing power versus peers. With HBM capacity sold out and revenue guided near $33.5 billion, the result will reflect how effectively Micron is capturing structural AI demand relative to broader DRAM and NAND cycles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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