Meta’s stock price outlook for the week of October 5 reflects competing pressures from an active multistate trial alleging addictive platform design, where New Mexico alone seeks up to $40 billion in penalties and broader exposure could reach trillions, alongside Meta’s $130–145 billion 2026 AI infrastructure spend that has already cratered free cash flow. Revenue growth remains robust at 28 percent year-over-year in Q2, driven by ad impressions and pricing, yet earnings estimates have ticked lower and the shares sit below their September peak near $780. Analyst targets cluster around $790, but the closely bunched market probabilities near $730–760 capture uncertainty ahead of Q3 results later in October and potential last-minute legal or spending updates.