The dominant market consensus on no prison time for Jack Doherty stems from his September 4, 2026, arrest on a single misdemeanor domestic battery charge in Fort Lauderdale, where police reported no injuries to the other party and set modest bond with a no-contact order. Florida law caps first-degree misdemeanor penalties at one year in county jail, and such cases frequently resolve via probation, fines, or diversion programs, especially absent prior convictions—Doherty’s 2025 drug-related charges were dropped after he completed a pre-trial diversion. Traders see limited upside for incarceration given the charge’s classification and rapid release. An upset could occur if new evidence leads to felony enhancements or if a judge imposes the maximum sentence following conviction, though historical patterns for similar low-level domestic cases make that outcome uncommon.