Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest for June Gold (GC) futures settlement, with the $4,600-$5,000 bin at 31.5% implied probability edging the $4,200-$4,600 range at 25.1%, reflecting current front-month futures near $4,723 amid balanced bullish and bearish forces. Recent 1.2% spot gold surge to $4,750 stemmed from U.S.-Iran peace deal hopes easing oil-driven inflation pressures—Brent below $100/barrel—and China's 18th straight month of reserve accumulation, bolstering safe-haven demand. However, April's 115,000 nonfarm payrolls beat and core CPI at 2.6% YoY signal Fed hawkishness, strengthening the dollar and capping upside via elevated Treasury yields. Key swing factors include May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting, where persistent inflation could tilt odds lower or geopolitical flares push higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVàng (GC) sẽ thanh toán ở mức nào trong tháng 6?
Vàng (GC) sẽ thanh toán ở mức nào trong tháng 6?
$4.600-$5.000 32%
$4,200-$4,600 24.9%
$5,000-$5,400 17.8%
$5,400-$5,800 9%
$935,086 KL.
$935,086 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
Dưới $3,800
2%
$3,800-$4,200
8%
$4,200-$4,600
25%
$4.600-$5.000
32%
$5,000-$5,400
18%
$5,400-$5,800
9%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
$4.600-$5.000 32%
$4,200-$4,600 24.9%
$5,000-$5,400 17.8%
$5,400-$5,800 9%
$935,086 KL.
$935,086 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
Dưới $3,800
$223,993 KL.
2%
$3,800-$4,200
$49,919 KL.
8%
$4,200-$4,600
$55,062 KL.
25%
$4.600-$5.000
$48,956 KL.
32%
$5,000-$5,400
$60,308 KL.
18%
$5,400-$5,800
$54,567 KL.
9%
$5.800-$6.200
$245,922 KL.
2%
>$6.200
$196,359 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest for June Gold (GC) futures settlement, with the $4,600-$5,000 bin at 31.5% implied probability edging the $4,200-$4,600 range at 25.1%, reflecting current front-month futures near $4,723 amid balanced bullish and bearish forces. Recent 1.2% spot gold surge to $4,750 stemmed from U.S.-Iran peace deal hopes easing oil-driven inflation pressures—Brent below $100/barrel—and China's 18th straight month of reserve accumulation, bolstering safe-haven demand. However, April's 115,000 nonfarm payrolls beat and core CPI at 2.6% YoY signal Fed hawkishness, strengthening the dollar and capping upside via elevated Treasury yields. Key swing factors include May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting, where persistent inflation could tilt odds lower or geopolitical flares push higher.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$935,086Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest for June Gold (GC) futures settlement, with the $4,600-$5,000 bin at 31.5% implied probability edging the $4,200-$4,600 range at 25.1%, reflecting current front-month futures near $4,723 amid balanced bullish and bearish forces. Recent 1.2% spot gold surge to $4,750 stemmed from U.S.-Iran peace deal hopes easing oil-driven inflation pressures—Brent below $100/barrel—and China's 18th straight month of reserve accumulation, bolstering safe-haven demand. However, April's 115,000 nonfarm payrolls beat and core CPI at 2.6% YoY signal Fed hawkishness, strengthening the dollar and capping upside via elevated Treasury yields. Key swing factors include May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting, where persistent inflation could tilt odds lower or geopolitical flares push higher.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Khối lượng
$935,086Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest for June Gold (GC) futures settlement, with the $4,600-$5,000 bin at 31.5% implied probability edging the $4,200-$4,600 range at 25.1%, reflecting current front-month futures near $4,723 amid balanced bullish and bearish forces. Recent 1.2% spot gold surge to $4,750 stemmed from U.S.-Iran peace deal hopes easing oil-driven inflation pressures—Brent below $100/barrel—and China's 18th straight month of reserve accumulation, bolstering safe-haven demand. However, April's 115,000 nonfarm payrolls beat and core CPI at 2.6% YoY signal Fed hawkishness, strengthening the dollar and capping upside via elevated Treasury yields. Key swing factors include May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting, where persistent inflation could tilt odds lower or geopolitical flares push higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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