Trader consensus on Polymarket, backed by real capital, prices a razor-thin contest for June 2026 COMEX Gold (GC) futures settlement, with $4,600–$5,000 (20%), $4,200–$4,600 (18.5%), and $5,000–$5,400 (17.1%) implied probabilities reflecting balanced bullish and bearish forces amid GC June trading near $4,850. Recent support at $4,800 held after New York Fed's Empire State manufacturing index rose to 11 in April, while a Strait of Hormuz ceasefire drove a one-month high before USD weakness spurred rebounds; persistent Chinese central bank purchases—most in a year during March—and ETF inflows counter sticky inflation (March CPI at 3.3%) fueling Fed rate pause expectations. Key differentiators include upcoming CPI/PPI releases and FOMC signals, with central bank demand versus tighter policy as pivotal swing factors through June resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVàng (GC) sẽ thanh toán ở mức nào trong tháng 6?
Vàng (GC) sẽ thanh toán ở mức nào trong tháng 6?
$4.600-$5.000 20%
$4,200-$4,600 18.4%
$5,000-$5,400 17.0%
$5,400-$5,800 14%
$893,353 KL.
$893,353 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
Dưới $3,800
6%
$3,800-$4,200
11%
$4,200-$4,600
18%
$4.600-$5.000
20%
$5,000-$5,400
17%
$5,400-$5,800
14%
$5.800-$6.200
8%
>$6.200
4%
$4.600-$5.000 20%
$4,200-$4,600 18.4%
$5,000-$5,400 17.0%
$5,400-$5,800 14%
$893,353 KL.
$893,353 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
Dưới $3,800
$219,233 KL.
6%
$3,800-$4,200
$47,639 KL.
11%
$4,200-$4,600
$45,955 KL.
18%
$4.600-$5.000
$43,675 KL.
20%
$5,000-$5,400
$52,981 KL.
17%
$5,400-$5,800
$50,478 KL.
14%
$5.800-$6.200
$242,935 KL.
8%
>$6.200
$190,457 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket, backed by real capital, prices a razor-thin contest for June 2026 COMEX Gold (GC) futures settlement, with $4,600–$5,000 (20%), $4,200–$4,600 (18.5%), and $5,000–$5,400 (17.1%) implied probabilities reflecting balanced bullish and bearish forces amid GC June trading near $4,850. Recent support at $4,800 held after New York Fed's Empire State manufacturing index rose to 11 in April, while a Strait of Hormuz ceasefire drove a one-month high before USD weakness spurred rebounds; persistent Chinese central bank purchases—most in a year during March—and ETF inflows counter sticky inflation (March CPI at 3.3%) fueling Fed rate pause expectations. Key differentiators include upcoming CPI/PPI releases and FOMC signals, with central bank demand versus tighter policy as pivotal swing factors through June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$893,353Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket, backed by real capital, prices a razor-thin contest for June 2026 COMEX Gold (GC) futures settlement, with $4,600–$5,000 (20%), $4,200–$4,600 (18.5%), and $5,000–$5,400 (17.1%) implied probabilities reflecting balanced bullish and bearish forces amid GC June trading near $4,850. Recent support at $4,800 held after New York Fed's Empire State manufacturing index rose to 11 in April, while a Strait of Hormuz ceasefire drove a one-month high before USD weakness spurred rebounds; persistent Chinese central bank purchases—most in a year during March—and ETF inflows counter sticky inflation (March CPI at 3.3%) fueling Fed rate pause expectations. Key differentiators include upcoming CPI/PPI releases and FOMC signals, with central bank demand versus tighter policy as pivotal swing factors through June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Khối lượng
$893,353Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket, backed by real capital, prices a razor-thin contest for June 2026 COMEX Gold (GC) futures settlement, with $4,600–$5,000 (20%), $4,200–$4,600 (18.5%), and $5,000–$5,400 (17.1%) implied probabilities reflecting balanced bullish and bearish forces amid GC June trading near $4,850. Recent support at $4,800 held after New York Fed's Empire State manufacturing index rose to 11 in April, while a Strait of Hormuz ceasefire drove a one-month high before USD weakness spurred rebounds; persistent Chinese central bank purchases—most in a year during March—and ETF inflows counter sticky inflation (March CPI at 3.3%) fueling Fed rate pause expectations. Key differentiators include upcoming CPI/PPI releases and FOMC signals, with central bank demand versus tighter policy as pivotal swing factors through June resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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