Recent leaks of Claude Mythos endpoints in public code and UI tags spotted last week have driven strong trader consensus toward an imminent public release, with 71.5% implied probability on or prior to June 9 and 12.5% on June 10. Following the model's April 2026 limited preview under Project Glasswing—restricted due to its advanced cybersecurity capabilities for vulnerability discovery and exploitation—Anthropic appears to be expanding access beyond vetted partners. This timing aligns with historical patterns of frontier large language model rollouts after internal testing, though full general availability remains gated by safety mitigations. Key swing factors include any official Anthropic statement or API expansion in the coming days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtClaude Mythos released on…?
On or prior to June 9 72%
June 10 13%
Not released by June 30 11.0%
June 15 2.1%
$42,079 KL.
$42,079 KL.
On or prior to June 9
72%
June 10
13%
June 11
1%
June 12
<1%
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
2%
June 16
1%
June 17
1%
June 18
<1%
June 19
<1%
June 20
2%
June 21
1%
June 22
1%
June 23
<1%
June 24
<1%
June 25
<1%
June 26
<1%
June 27
<1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
1%
June 30
<1%
Not released by June 30
11%
On or prior to June 9 72%
June 10 13%
Not released by June 30 11.0%
June 15 2.1%
$42,079 KL.
$42,079 KL.
On or prior to June 9
72%
June 10
13%
June 11
1%
June 12
<1%
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
2%
June 16
1%
June 17
1%
June 18
<1%
June 19
<1%
June 20
2%
June 21
1%
June 22
1%
June 23
<1%
June 24
<1%
June 25
<1%
June 26
<1%
June 27
<1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
1%
June 30
<1%
Not released by June 30
11%
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent leaks of Claude Mythos endpoints in public code and UI tags spotted last week have driven strong trader consensus toward an imminent public release, with 71.5% implied probability on or prior to June 9 and 12.5% on June 10. Following the model's April 2026 limited preview under Project Glasswing—restricted due to its advanced cybersecurity capabilities for vulnerability discovery and exploitation—Anthropic appears to be expanding access beyond vetted partners. This timing aligns with historical patterns of frontier large language model rollouts after internal testing, though full general availability remains gated by safety mitigations. Key swing factors include any official Anthropic statement or API expansion in the coming days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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