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icon for Claude Mythos released on…?

Claude Mythos released on…?

icon for Claude Mythos released on…?

Claude Mythos released on…?

On or prior to June 9 72%

June 10 13%

Not released by June 30 11.0%

June 15 2.1%

Polymarket
MỚI

$42,079 KL.

On or prior to June 9 72%

June 10 13%

Not released by June 30 11.0%

June 15 2.1%

Polymarket
MỚI

$42,079 KL.

On or prior to June 9

$14,436 KL.

72%

June 10

$5,601 KL.

13%

June 11

$2,592 KL.

1%

June 12

$1,374 KL.

<1%

June 13

$1,355 KL.

<1%

June 14

$1,221 KL.

<1%

June 15

$1,372 KL.

2%

June 16

$940 KL.

1%

June 17

$519 KL.

1%

June 18

$650 KL.

<1%

June 19

$802 KL.

<1%

June 20

$721 KL.

2%

June 21

$741 KL.

1%

June 22

$632 KL.

1%

June 23

$692 KL.

<1%

June 24

$602 KL.

<1%

June 25

$632 KL.

<1%

June 26

$889 KL.

<1%

June 27

$659 KL.

<1%

June 28

$1,523 KL.

<1%

June 29

$822 KL.

1%

June 30

$892 KL.

<1%

Not released by June 30

$2,545 KL.

11%

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model. The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent leaks of Claude Mythos endpoints in public code and UI tags spotted last week have driven strong trader consensus toward an imminent public release, with 71.5% implied probability on or prior to June 9 and 12.5% on June 10. Following the model's April 2026 limited preview under Project Glasswing—restricted due to its advanced cybersecurity capabilities for vulnerability discovery and exploitation—Anthropic appears to be expanding access beyond vetted partners. This timing aligns with historical patterns of frontier large language model rollouts after internal testing, though full general availability remains gated by safety mitigations. Key swing factors include any official Anthropic statement or API expansion in the coming days.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.

The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$42,079
Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model. The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model. The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent leaks of Claude Mythos endpoints in public code and UI tags spotted last week have driven strong trader consensus toward an imminent public release, with 71.5% implied probability on or prior to June 9 and 12.5% on June 10. Following the model's April 2026 limited preview under Project Glasswing—restricted due to its advanced cybersecurity capabilities for vulnerability discovery and exploitation—Anthropic appears to be expanding access beyond vetted partners. This timing aligns with historical patterns of frontier large language model rollouts after internal testing, though full general availability remains gated by safety mitigations. Key swing factors include any official Anthropic statement or API expansion in the coming days.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.

The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$42,079
Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model. The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Claude Mythos released on…?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 23 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "On or prior to June 9" ở mức 72%, tiếp theo là "June 10" ở mức 13%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 72¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 72% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Claude Mythos released on…?" đã tạo $42.1K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Jun 9, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Claude Mythos released on…?," duyệt 23 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Claude Mythos released on…?" là "On or prior to June 9" ở mức 72%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 72% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "June 10" ở mức 13%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Claude Mythos released on…?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.