Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOn or prior to April 16 100.0%
April 17 <1%
April 18 <1%
April 19 <1%
$330,392 KL.
$330,392 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
On or prior to April 16
Yes
April 17
No
April 18
No
April 19
No
April 20
No
April 21
No
April 22
No
April 23
No
April 24
No
April 25
No
April 26
No
April 27
No
April 28
No
April 29
No
April 30
No
Not released by April 30
No
On or prior to April 16 100.0%
April 17 <1%
April 18 <1%
April 19 <1%
$330,392 KL.
$330,392 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
On or prior to April 16
$171,584 KL.
Yes
April 17
$22,254 KL.
No
April 18
$15,199 KL.
No
April 19
$8,993 KL.
No
April 20
$7,985 KL.
No
April 21
$9,387 KL.
No
April 22
$4,823 KL.
No
April 23
$4,910 KL.
No
April 24
$4,639 KL.
No
April 25
$4,164 KL.
No
April 26
$4,620 KL.
No
April 27
$4,838 KL.
No
April 28
$4,249 KL.
No
April 29
$4,045 KL.
No
April 30
$3,681 KL.
No
Not released by April 30
$55,022 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Khối lượng
$330,392Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$330,392Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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