Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day remain the dominant driver behind WTI crude oil prices trading near $96–$100 per barrel in May 2026. This supply shock has produced an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory draw in the second quarter, supporting elevated levels through the June contract settlement amid robust refinery utilization. Market-implied odds assigning 63.5% probability to a >$84 close aggregate real-capital trader consensus on these near-term constraints, while downside risks from potential U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress, OPEC+ output adjustments, and softer 2026 demand growth forecasts account for the 20% weighting on the $77–$84 range and lower buckets. Upcoming EIA inventory releases and any resumption of Hormuz traffic represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the risk premium.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 64%
$77-$84 20%
$70-$77 12.6%
$63-$70 3.7%
$199,014 KL.
$199,014 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
4%
$70-$77
13%
$77-$84
20%
>$84
64%
>$84 64%
$77-$84 20%
$70-$77 12.6%
$63-$70 3.7%
$199,014 KL.
$199,014 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$20,391 KL.
<1%
$42-$49
$9,604 KL.
<1%
$49-$56
$11,401 KL.
1%
$56-$63
$12,002 KL.
1%
$63-$70
$26,783 KL.
4%
$70-$77
$16,189 KL.
13%
$77-$84
$16,841 KL.
20%
>$84
$85,804 KL.
64%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day remain the dominant driver behind WTI crude oil prices trading near $96–$100 per barrel in May 2026. This supply shock has produced an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory draw in the second quarter, supporting elevated levels through the June contract settlement amid robust refinery utilization. Market-implied odds assigning 63.5% probability to a >$84 close aggregate real-capital trader consensus on these near-term constraints, while downside risks from potential U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress, OPEC+ output adjustments, and softer 2026 demand growth forecasts account for the 20% weighting on the $77–$84 range and lower buckets. Upcoming EIA inventory releases and any resumption of Hormuz traffic represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the risk premium.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$199,014Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day remain the dominant driver behind WTI crude oil prices trading near $96–$100 per barrel in May 2026. This supply shock has produced an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory draw in the second quarter, supporting elevated levels through the June contract settlement amid robust refinery utilization. Market-implied odds assigning 63.5% probability to a >$84 close aggregate real-capital trader consensus on these near-term constraints, while downside risks from potential U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress, OPEC+ output adjustments, and softer 2026 demand growth forecasts account for the 20% weighting on the $77–$84 range and lower buckets. Upcoming EIA inventory releases and any resumption of Hormuz traffic represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the risk premium.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Khối lượng
$199,014Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETGeopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day remain the dominant driver behind WTI crude oil prices trading near $96–$100 per barrel in May 2026. This supply shock has produced an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory draw in the second quarter, supporting elevated levels through the June contract settlement amid robust refinery utilization. Market-implied odds assigning 63.5% probability to a >$84 close aggregate real-capital trader consensus on these near-term constraints, while downside risks from potential U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress, OPEC+ output adjustments, and softer 2026 demand growth forecasts account for the 20% weighting on the $77–$84 range and lower buckets. Upcoming EIA inventory releases and any resumption of Hormuz traffic represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the risk premium.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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