Recent purges of senior PLA officers, including Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and others linked to the Fujian group or Rocket Force, reflect Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of personal control over the military through anti-corruption investigations. These actions, intensified through 2026, have hollowed out experienced command structures and are widely viewed as responses to internal disagreements over Taiwan operational readiness rather than successful challenges to leadership. No coordinated military or security force effort to seize power has met the threshold of widely corroborated reporting required for market resolution. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a qualifying coup attempt before the end of 2026, consistent with historical patterns of CCP stability and the absence of public fractures in elite loyalty. Further CMC announcements or policy shifts on cross-Strait issues remain the primary near-term variables that could alter assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtView resolved

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