Xi Jinping’s repeated anti-corruption purges and personnel reshuffles have centralized authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, underpinning the 96.4 percent trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigation into senior General Zhang Youxia and related military turnover sparked brief external speculation but produced no confirmed resistance, leadership vacuum, or organized challenge to central directives. Ongoing loyalty mechanisms and elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress have reinforced command without visible fractures. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still alter conditions, though the absence of public signals of dissent continues to support expectations of continuity through the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina coup attempt before 2027?
China coup attempt before 2027?
$132,052 KL.
$132,052 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$132,052 KL.
$132,052 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s repeated anti-corruption purges and personnel reshuffles have centralized authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, underpinning the 96.4 percent trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigation into senior General Zhang Youxia and related military turnover sparked brief external speculation but produced no confirmed resistance, leadership vacuum, or organized challenge to central directives. Ongoing loyalty mechanisms and elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress have reinforced command without visible fractures. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still alter conditions, though the absence of public signals of dissent continues to support expectations of continuity through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$132,052Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s repeated anti-corruption purges and personnel reshuffles have centralized authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, underpinning the 96.4 percent trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigation into senior General Zhang Youxia and related military turnover sparked brief external speculation but produced no confirmed resistance, leadership vacuum, or organized challenge to central directives. Ongoing loyalty mechanisms and elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress have reinforced command without visible fractures. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still alter conditions, though the absence of public signals of dissent continues to support expectations of continuity through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$132,052Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s repeated anti-corruption purges and personnel reshuffles have centralized authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, underpinning the 96.4 percent trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigation into senior General Zhang Youxia and related military turnover sparked brief external speculation but produced no confirmed resistance, leadership vacuum, or organized challenge to central directives. Ongoing loyalty mechanisms and elite turnover ahead of the 2027 Party Congress have reinforced command without visible fractures. A sudden leadership health event, acute economic dislocation fracturing senior cadres, or major external shock could still alter conditions, though the absence of public signals of dissent continues to support expectations of continuity through the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp