Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-48 Primary Winners
CA-48 Primary Winners
MỚI
Jun 2, 2026
Jim Desmond
93%
Ammar Campa-Najjar
63%
Marni von Wilpert
40%
Brandon Riker
27%
Abel Chavez
7%
Corinna Contreras
6%
Mike Schaefer
5%
Kevin O'Neil
3%
Ferguson Porter
3%
Luis Reyna
2%
Stephen Clemons
2%
Eric Shaw
2%
$3,194 KL.
Jim Desmond
$180 KL.
93%
Ammar Campa-Najjar
$587 KL.
63%
Marni von Wilpert
$287 KL.
40%
Brandon Riker
$475 KL.
27%
Abel Chavez
$143 KL.
7%
Corinna Contreras
$183 KL.
6%
Mike Schaefer
$41 KL.
5%
Kevin O'Neil
$265 KL.
3%
Ferguson Porter
$281 KL.
3%
Luis Reyna
$249 KL.
2%
Stephen Clemons
$158 KL.
2%
Eric Shaw
$344 KL.
2%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,194Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$3,194Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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