Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding lead in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 45th congressional district, positioning him to advance to the November general election alongside one Republican. With early returns showing Tran exceeding 50 percent of the vote, vote-by-mail ballots continue to arrive amid a crowded Republican field that includes former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo, Westminster Mayor Chi Charlie Nguyen, and three other challengers. This fragmentation among Republicans, following redistricting under Proposition 50, has shaped trader assessments of the primary outcomes, while the district's narrow partisan lean and Tran's 2024 performance with key voter blocs remain central to evaluations of the race heading into the general election on November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-45 Primary Winners
CA-45 Primary Winners
$11,628 KL.
Jun 2, 2026
Derek Tran
99%
Chi Charlie Nguyen
11%
Tom Vo
13%
Amy Phan West
3%
Mark Leonard
2%
Chuong Vo
59%
$11,628 KL.
Derek Tran
$4,097 KL.
99%
Chi Charlie Nguyen
$2,372 KL.
11%
Tom Vo
$2,238 KL.
13%
Amy Phan West
$841 KL.
3%
Mark Leonard
$1,123 KL.
2%
Chuong Vo
$957 KL.
59%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding lead in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 45th congressional district, positioning him to advance to the November general election alongside one Republican. With early returns showing Tran exceeding 50 percent of the vote, vote-by-mail ballots continue to arrive amid a crowded Republican field that includes former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo, Westminster Mayor Chi Charlie Nguyen, and three other challengers. This fragmentation among Republicans, following redistricting under Proposition 50, has shaped trader assessments of the primary outcomes, while the district's narrow partisan lean and Tran's 2024 performance with key voter blocs remain central to evaluations of the race heading into the general election on November 3.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,628Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding lead in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 45th congressional district, positioning him to advance to the November general election alongside one Republican. With early returns showing Tran exceeding 50 percent of the vote, vote-by-mail ballots continue to arrive amid a crowded Republican field that includes former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo, Westminster Mayor Chi Charlie Nguyen, and three other challengers. This fragmentation among Republicans, following redistricting under Proposition 50, has shaped trader assessments of the primary outcomes, while the district's narrow partisan lean and Tran's 2024 performance with key voter blocs remain central to evaluations of the race heading into the general election on November 3.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 45th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$11,628Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Derek Tran holds a commanding lead in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 45th congressional district, positioning him to advance to the November general election alongside one Republican. With early returns showing Tran exceeding 50 percent of the vote, vote-by-mail ballots continue to arrive amid a crowded Republican field that includes former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo, Westminster Mayor Chi Charlie Nguyen, and three other challengers. This fragmentation among Republicans, following redistricting under Proposition 50, has shaped trader assessments of the primary outcomes, while the district's narrow partisan lean and Tran's 2024 performance with key voter blocs remain central to evaluations of the race heading into the general election on November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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