The strong Democratic lean of California's 34th congressional district, which encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Los Angeles such as East Los Angeles and Boyle Heights, anchors the 93.8% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez holds structural advantages including substantial fundraising and established party infrastructure ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index exceeding D+28 and the absence of any credible Republican challenger for the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen primary disruption or late legal development, though historical patterns show limited volatility in such safe districts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-34 House Election Winner
CA-34 House Election Winner
$24,068 KL.
$24,068 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$24,068 KL.
$24,068 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,996 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$17,073 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 34th congressional district, which encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Los Angeles such as East Los Angeles and Boyle Heights, anchors the 93.8% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez holds structural advantages including substantial fundraising and established party infrastructure ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index exceeding D+28 and the absence of any credible Republican challenger for the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen primary disruption or late legal development, though historical patterns show limited volatility in such safe districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,068Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 34th congressional district, which encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Los Angeles such as East Los Angeles and Boyle Heights, anchors the 93.8% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez holds structural advantages including substantial fundraising and established party infrastructure ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index exceeding D+28 and the absence of any credible Republican challenger for the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen primary disruption or late legal development, though historical patterns show limited volatility in such safe districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$24,068Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 34th congressional district, which encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Los Angeles such as East Los Angeles and Boyle Heights, anchors the 93.8% implied probability for a Democratic victory. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez holds structural advantages including substantial fundraising and established party infrastructure ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index exceeding D+28 and the absence of any credible Republican challenger for the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen primary disruption or late legal development, though historical patterns show limited volatility in such safe districts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp