Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 65% of the vote in California's 15th congressional district, facing Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election. The San Mateo County-based seat has long favored Democrats, with Mullin previously winning reelection by wide margins and drawing endorsements and substantial fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and Hoelter's limited campaign resources. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unforeseen candidate health issues, major scandals, or significant turnout swings in the final weeks before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-15 House Election Winner
CA-15 House Election Winner
$122,366 KL.
$122,366 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Kevin Mullin (D)
96%
Charles Hoelter (R)
<1%
$122,366 KL.
$122,366 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Kevin Mullin (D)
$94,061 KL.
96%
Charles Hoelter (R)
$28,305 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 65% of the vote in California's 15th congressional district, facing Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election. The San Mateo County-based seat has long favored Democrats, with Mullin previously winning reelection by wide margins and drawing endorsements and substantial fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and Hoelter's limited campaign resources. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unforeseen candidate health issues, major scandals, or significant turnout swings in the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$122,366Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 65% of the vote in California's 15th congressional district, facing Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election. The San Mateo County-based seat has long favored Democrats, with Mullin previously winning reelection by wide margins and drawing endorsements and substantial fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and Hoelter's limited campaign resources. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unforeseen candidate health issues, major scandals, or significant turnout swings in the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$122,366Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with 65% of the vote in California's 15th congressional district, facing Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election. The San Mateo County-based seat has long favored Democrats, with Mullin previously winning reelection by wide margins and drawing endorsements and substantial fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and Hoelter's limited campaign resources. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unforeseen candidate health issues, major scandals, or significant turnout swings in the final weeks before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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