**The film’s record-shattering $81 million domestic opening has positioned second-weekend results firmly below $50 million in trader consensus.** A24’s low-budget horror adaptation, directed by 20-year-old Kane Parsons, exceeded pre-release tracking by a wide margin and quickly crossed $100 million domestically, but horror originals with massive debuts typically experience steep drops of 35-50 percent in their sophomore frame. Current analyst estimates cluster around $48-50 million, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 95.9 percent implied probability for the under-$50 million outcome. An upset above $50 million would require unusually strong word-of-mouth and minimal competition to produce a hold in the high 50s or better, a scenario viewed as unlikely given historical patterns for similar releases.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật"Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<50m 95.4%
50-55m 1.8%
55-60m 1.3%
>65m 1.3%
<50m
95%
50-55m
2%
55-60m
1%
60-65m
1%
>65m
1%
<50m 95.4%
50-55m 1.8%
55-60m 1.3%
>65m 1.3%
<50m
95%
50-55m
2%
55-60m
1%
60-65m
1%
>65m
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The film’s record-shattering $81 million domestic opening has positioned second-weekend results firmly below $50 million in trader consensus.** A24’s low-budget horror adaptation, directed by 20-year-old Kane Parsons, exceeded pre-release tracking by a wide margin and quickly crossed $100 million domestically, but horror originals with massive debuts typically experience steep drops of 35-50 percent in their sophomore frame. Current analyst estimates cluster around $48-50 million, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 95.9 percent implied probability for the under-$50 million outcome. An upset above $50 million would require unusually strong word-of-mouth and minimal competition to produce a hold in the high 50s or better, a scenario viewed as unlikely given historical patterns for similar releases.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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