Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.7% due to the total absence of any public criminal charges, indictment, or DOJ investigation against Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, with the company's dispute against the Trump administration confined to civil litigation over Pentagon AI contracts and a "supply chain risk" designation. A federal judge blocked a proposed ban on Anthropic's technology in late March 2026 as illegal retaliation, while Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with chief of staff Susie Wiles signals thawing tensions rather than escalation. Such near-certainty reflects no credible arrest catalysts, though late-breaking scandals, unforeseen legal probes, or health events could theoretically shift odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$151,395 KL.
$151,395 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$151,395 KL.
$151,395 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.7% due to the total absence of any public criminal charges, indictment, or DOJ investigation against Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, with the company's dispute against the Trump administration confined to civil litigation over Pentagon AI contracts and a "supply chain risk" designation. A federal judge blocked a proposed ban on Anthropic's technology in late March 2026 as illegal retaliation, while Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with chief of staff Susie Wiles signals thawing tensions rather than escalation. Such near-certainty reflects no credible arrest catalysts, though late-breaking scandals, unforeseen legal probes, or health events could theoretically shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$151,395Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.7% due to the total absence of any public criminal charges, indictment, or DOJ investigation against Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, with the company's dispute against the Trump administration confined to civil litigation over Pentagon AI contracts and a "supply chain risk" designation. A federal judge blocked a proposed ban on Anthropic's technology in late March 2026 as illegal retaliation, while Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with chief of staff Susie Wiles signals thawing tensions rather than escalation. Such near-certainty reflects no credible arrest catalysts, though late-breaking scandals, unforeseen legal probes, or health events could theoretically shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$151,395Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.7% due to the total absence of any public criminal charges, indictment, or DOJ investigation against Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, with the company's dispute against the Trump administration confined to civil litigation over Pentagon AI contracts and a "supply chain risk" designation. A federal judge blocked a proposed ban on Anthropic's technology in late March 2026 as illegal retaliation, while Amodei's April 17 White House meeting with chief of staff Susie Wiles signals thawing tensions rather than escalation. Such near-certainty reflects no credible arrest catalysts, though late-breaking scandals, unforeseen legal probes, or health events could theoretically shift odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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