The National Hurricane Center's latest tropical weather outlooks confirm no organized systems or favorable conditions for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic basin as of May 30, 2026, with quiet patterns expected to persist through the final day before the official June 1 season start. This aligns with climatological norms, as over 97% of Atlantic hurricane activity occurs after that date due to insufficient sea surface temperatures, wind shear patterns, and atmospheric instability in May. Trader consensus at near-100% for no formation by May 31 reflects these verified observations and the absence of any pre-season disturbances in recent NHC summaries. While rare early formations have occurred historically, current model guidance and monitoring data show no realistic pathways for intensification to hurricane strength (74 mph sustained winds on the Saffir-Simpson scale) in the remaining window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill a hurricane form by May 31?
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
$54,306 Обс.
$54,306 Обс.
May 31, 2026
$54,306 Обс.
$54,306 Обс.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The National Hurricane Center's latest tropical weather outlooks confirm no organized systems or favorable conditions for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic basin as of May 30, 2026, with quiet patterns expected to persist through the final day before the official June 1 season start. This aligns with climatological norms, as over 97% of Atlantic hurricane activity occurs after that date due to insufficient sea surface temperatures, wind shear patterns, and atmospheric instability in May. Trader consensus at near-100% for no formation by May 31 reflects these verified observations and the absence of any pre-season disturbances in recent NHC summaries. While rare early formations have occurred historically, current model guidance and monitoring data show no realistic pathways for intensification to hurricane strength (74 mph sustained winds on the Saffir-Simpson scale) in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$54,306Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.The National Hurricane Center's latest tropical weather outlooks confirm no organized systems or favorable conditions for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic basin as of May 30, 2026, with quiet patterns expected to persist through the final day before the official June 1 season start. This aligns with climatological norms, as over 97% of Atlantic hurricane activity occurs after that date due to insufficient sea surface temperatures, wind shear patterns, and atmospheric instability in May. Trader consensus at near-100% for no formation by May 31 reflects these verified observations and the absence of any pre-season disturbances in recent NHC summaries. While rare early formations have occurred historically, current model guidance and monitoring data show no realistic pathways for intensification to hurricane strength (74 mph sustained winds on the Saffir-Simpson scale) in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Обсяг
$54,306Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The National Hurricane Center's latest tropical weather outlooks confirm no organized systems or favorable conditions for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic basin as of May 30, 2026, with quiet patterns expected to persist through the final day before the official June 1 season start. This aligns with climatological norms, as over 97% of Atlantic hurricane activity occurs after that date due to insufficient sea surface temperatures, wind shear patterns, and atmospheric instability in May. Trader consensus at near-100% for no formation by May 31 reflects these verified observations and the absence of any pre-season disturbances in recent NHC summaries. While rare early formations have occurred historically, current model guidance and monitoring data show no realistic pathways for intensification to hurricane strength (74 mph sustained winds on the Saffir-Simpson scale) in the remaining window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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