Senate Republicans' narrow 50-48 passage of a budget resolution early April 23 enables reconciliation to fund DHS immigration enforcement agencies like ICE and CBP without Democratic support, bypassing filibuster and driving trader consensus toward May resolution windows amid the 70-day funding lapse—the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history. DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin's April 22 warning of exhausted emergency pay funds by early May for TSA and other staff intensifies urgency, closely matching odds on April 27-May 3 (16.5%) and May 18-24 (19.0%) as reconciliation advances through House instructions, committee bills, and floor votes. Bipartisan compromise or procedural snags could tip the balance, with after-July 31 at 12.5% reflecting prolonged partisan gridlock risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhen will the DHS shutdown end?
When will the DHS shutdown end?
May 18-24 19%
April 27-May 3 16.5%
After July 31 13%
May 25-31 10%
April 20-26
2%
April 27-May 3
16%
May 4-10
5%
May 11-17
4%
May 18-24
19%
May 25-31
10%
June 1-7
6%
June 8-14
3%
June 15-21
3%
June 22-28
4%
June 29-July 5
3%
July 6-12
3%
July 13-19
4%
July 20-26
4%
July 27-31
4%
After July 31
13%
May 18-24 19%
April 27-May 3 16.5%
After July 31 13%
May 25-31 10%
April 20-26
2%
April 27-May 3
16%
May 4-10
5%
May 11-17
4%
May 18-24
19%
May 25-31
10%
June 1-7
6%
June 8-14
3%
June 15-21
3%
June 22-28
4%
June 29-July 5
3%
July 6-12
3%
July 13-19
4%
July 20-26
4%
July 27-31
4%
After July 31
13%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Senate Republicans' narrow 50-48 passage of a budget resolution early April 23 enables reconciliation to fund DHS immigration enforcement agencies like ICE and CBP without Democratic support, bypassing filibuster and driving trader consensus toward May resolution windows amid the 70-day funding lapse—the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history. DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin's April 22 warning of exhausted emergency pay funds by early May for TSA and other staff intensifies urgency, closely matching odds on April 27-May 3 (16.5%) and May 18-24 (19.0%) as reconciliation advances through House instructions, committee bills, and floor votes. Bipartisan compromise or procedural snags could tip the balance, with after-July 31 at 12.5% reflecting prolonged partisan gridlock risks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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