Incumbent Rep. Suhas Subramanyam (D), who won VA-10 in 2024 with 52% amid strong Northern Virginia turnout, announced his re-election bid in January, solidifying Democratic trader consensus at 92.5% in this leans Democratic district anchored by affluent Loudoun County. Cook Political Report rates it Safe Democratic, citing Subramanyam's coast-to-reelection path with a weak early Republican field including candidates like Julie Perry. Voters approved a narrow constitutional amendment on April 21 enabling legislative congressional redistricting—potentially fortifying Democratic seats despite ensuing court challenges—further entrenching the frontrunner absent major shifts. Scenarios altering odds include a high-profile GOP recruit by the May 26 filing deadline, Subramanyam scandal, or national midterm Republican wave ahead of August 4 primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-10 House Election Winner
VA-10 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$227 Обс.
89%
Republican Party
$262 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Suhas Subramanyam (D), who won VA-10 in 2024 with 52% amid strong Northern Virginia turnout, announced his re-election bid in January, solidifying Democratic trader consensus at 92.5% in this leans Democratic district anchored by affluent Loudoun County. Cook Political Report rates it Safe Democratic, citing Subramanyam's coast-to-reelection path with a weak early Republican field including candidates like Julie Perry. Voters approved a narrow constitutional amendment on April 21 enabling legislative congressional redistricting—potentially fortifying Democratic seats despite ensuing court challenges—further entrenching the frontrunner absent major shifts. Scenarios altering odds include a high-profile GOP recruit by the May 26 filing deadline, Subramanyam scandal, or national midterm Republican wave ahead of August 4 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$489Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Suhas Subramanyam (D), who won VA-10 in 2024 with 52% amid strong Northern Virginia turnout, announced his re-election bid in January, solidifying Democratic trader consensus at 92.5% in this leans Democratic district anchored by affluent Loudoun County. Cook Political Report rates it Safe Democratic, citing Subramanyam's coast-to-reelection path with a weak early Republican field including candidates like Julie Perry. Voters approved a narrow constitutional amendment on April 21 enabling legislative congressional redistricting—potentially fortifying Democratic seats despite ensuing court challenges—further entrenching the frontrunner absent major shifts. Scenarios altering odds include a high-profile GOP recruit by the May 26 filing deadline, Subramanyam scandal, or national midterm Republican wave ahead of August 4 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$489Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Suhas Subramanyam (D), who won VA-10 in 2024 with 52% amid strong Northern Virginia turnout, announced his re-election bid in January, solidifying Democratic trader consensus at 92.5% in this leans Democratic district anchored by affluent Loudoun County. Cook Political Report rates it Safe Democratic, citing Subramanyam's coast-to-reelection path with a weak early Republican field including candidates like Julie Perry. Voters approved a narrow constitutional amendment on April 21 enabling legislative congressional redistricting—potentially fortifying Democratic seats despite ensuing court challenges—further entrenching the frontrunner absent major shifts. Scenarios altering odds include a high-profile GOP recruit by the May 26 filing deadline, Subramanyam scandal, or national midterm Republican wave ahead of August 4 primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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