Republican traders give a slim edge to the GOP nominee in Texas' 35th Congressional District, a battleground reshaped by mid-decade redistricting to favor Republicans with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4, reflecting trader consensus on its newfound competitiveness after previously favoring Democrats under Greg Casar, who shifted to TX-37. The March 3 primaries sent both parties to May 26 runoffs—Democrats Maureen Galindo (29%) vs. Johnny Garcia (27%), Republicans John Lujan (33%, backed by Gov. Abbott) vs. Carlos De La Cruz (27%, Trump-endorsed)—keeping the race tight amid strong GOP fundraising and national targeting for House pickups. Outcomes of the runoffs, voter turnout in San Antonio suburbs, and midterm dynamics could tip the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-35 House Election Winner
TX-35 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
50%
Democratic Party
48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$755 Обс.
50%
Democratic Party
$1,569 Обс.
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican traders give a slim edge to the GOP nominee in Texas' 35th Congressional District, a battleground reshaped by mid-decade redistricting to favor Republicans with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4, reflecting trader consensus on its newfound competitiveness after previously favoring Democrats under Greg Casar, who shifted to TX-37. The March 3 primaries sent both parties to May 26 runoffs—Democrats Maureen Galindo (29%) vs. Johnny Garcia (27%), Republicans John Lujan (33%, backed by Gov. Abbott) vs. Carlos De La Cruz (27%, Trump-endorsed)—keeping the race tight amid strong GOP fundraising and national targeting for House pickups. Outcomes of the runoffs, voter turnout in San Antonio suburbs, and midterm dynamics could tip the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,325Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican traders give a slim edge to the GOP nominee in Texas' 35th Congressional District, a battleground reshaped by mid-decade redistricting to favor Republicans with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4, reflecting trader consensus on its newfound competitiveness after previously favoring Democrats under Greg Casar, who shifted to TX-37. The March 3 primaries sent both parties to May 26 runoffs—Democrats Maureen Galindo (29%) vs. Johnny Garcia (27%), Republicans John Lujan (33%, backed by Gov. Abbott) vs. Carlos De La Cruz (27%, Trump-endorsed)—keeping the race tight amid strong GOP fundraising and national targeting for House pickups. Outcomes of the runoffs, voter turnout in San Antonio suburbs, and midterm dynamics could tip the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,325Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican traders give a slim edge to the GOP nominee in Texas' 35th Congressional District, a battleground reshaped by mid-decade redistricting to favor Republicans with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+4, reflecting trader consensus on its newfound competitiveness after previously favoring Democrats under Greg Casar, who shifted to TX-37. The March 3 primaries sent both parties to May 26 runoffs—Democrats Maureen Galindo (29%) vs. Johnny Garcia (27%), Republicans John Lujan (33%, backed by Gov. Abbott) vs. Carlos De La Cruz (27%, Trump-endorsed)—keeping the race tight amid strong GOP fundraising and national targeting for House pickups. Outcomes of the runoffs, voter turnout in San Antonio suburbs, and midterm dynamics could tip the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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