Alberto Di Rubba's commanding 100.0% implied probability in the Rovigo by-election reflects traders' consensus on his dominant position as Fratelli d'Italia's candidate in this Veneto constituency, a longstanding right-wing stronghold where the party secured over 50% in recent general elections. Recent polling from Istituto Piepoli and others shows Di Rubba leading by 30+ points against PD's Giuseppe Padoan and independent Giacomo Bovolenta, bolstered by Prime Minister Meloni's endorsement and high turnout expectations favoring the center-right coalition. This near-certainty stems from the seat's history and lack of competitive challengers. Realistic challenges include a surprise surge in left-wing mobilization or procedural disputes over ballots, though official results due shortly could confirm the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRovigo By-Election Winner
Rovigo By-Election Winner
Alberto Di Rubba 100.0%
Giacomo Bovolenta <1%
Giuseppe Padoan <1%
$0.00 Обс.
$0.00 Обс.
Mar 23, 2026
Alberto Di Rubba
Yes
Giacomo Bovolenta
No
Giuseppe Padoan
No
Alberto Di Rubba 100.0%
Giacomo Bovolenta <1%
Giuseppe Padoan <1%
$0.00 Обс.
$0.00 Обс.
Mar 23, 2026
Alberto Di Rubba
$0 Обс.
Yes
Giacomo Bovolenta
$0 Обс.
No
Giuseppe Padoan
$0 Обс.
No
A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).Alberto Di Rubba's commanding 100.0% implied probability in the Rovigo by-election reflects traders' consensus on his dominant position as Fratelli d'Italia's candidate in this Veneto constituency, a longstanding right-wing stronghold where the party secured over 50% in recent general elections. Recent polling from Istituto Piepoli and others shows Di Rubba leading by 30+ points against PD's Giuseppe Padoan and independent Giacomo Bovolenta, bolstered by Prime Minister Meloni's endorsement and high turnout expectations favoring the center-right coalition. This near-certainty stems from the seat's history and lack of competitive challengers. Realistic challenges include a surprise surge in left-wing mobilization or procedural disputes over ballots, though official results due shortly could confirm the outcome.
A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).
Ринок відкрито: Mar 11, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Mar 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 11, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).Alberto Di Rubba's commanding 100.0% implied probability in the Rovigo by-election reflects traders' consensus on his dominant position as Fratelli d'Italia's candidate in this Veneto constituency, a longstanding right-wing stronghold where the party secured over 50% in recent general elections. Recent polling from Istituto Piepoli and others shows Di Rubba leading by 30+ points against PD's Giuseppe Padoan and independent Giacomo Bovolenta, bolstered by Prime Minister Meloni's endorsement and high turnout expectations favoring the center-right coalition. This near-certainty stems from the seat's history and lack of competitive challengers. Realistic challenges include a surprise surge in left-wing mobilization or procedural disputes over ballots, though official results due shortly could confirm the outcome.
A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Mar 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 11, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Alberto Di Rubba's commanding 100.0% implied probability in the Rovigo by-election reflects traders' consensus on his dominant position as Fratelli d'Italia's candidate in this Veneto constituency, a longstanding right-wing stronghold where the party secured over 50% in recent general elections. Recent polling from Istituto Piepoli and others shows Di Rubba leading by 30+ points against PD's Giuseppe Padoan and independent Giacomo Bovolenta, bolstered by Prime Minister Meloni's endorsement and high turnout expectations favoring the center-right coalition. This near-certainty stems from the seat's history and lack of competitive challengers. Realistic challenges include a surprise surge in left-wing mobilization or procedural disputes over ballots, though official results due shortly could confirm the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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