OPEC continues to coordinate production policies through regular OPEC+ ministerial meetings, with the core group reaffirming output targets for October 2026 and advancing reviews for 2027 quotas as recently as early September. Member exits, including the UAE's departure in May, have reduced the organization's footprint but prompted no dissolution; remaining producers such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and others maintain quota negotiations and compliance monitoring amid Middle East supply disruptions. Historical precedent shows the group adapting to prior withdrawals without collapse. Trader consensus at 96.9% against dissolution reflects this operational continuity. Late-year shifts could still emerge from accelerated exits by Iraq or Venezuela or abrupt breakdown in quota enforcement, though current diplomatic and market activity points to sustained coordination through year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3% шанс
$36,499 Обс.
$36,499 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
3% шанс
$36,499 Обс.
$36,499 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to coordinate production policies through regular OPEC+ ministerial meetings, with the core group reaffirming output targets for October 2026 and advancing reviews for 2027 quotas as recently as early September. Member exits, including the UAE's departure in May, have reduced the organization's footprint but prompted no dissolution; remaining producers such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and others maintain quota negotiations and compliance monitoring amid Middle East supply disruptions. Historical precedent shows the group adapting to prior withdrawals without collapse. Trader consensus at 96.9% against dissolution reflects this operational continuity. Late-year shifts could still emerge from accelerated exits by Iraq or Venezuela or abrupt breakdown in quota enforcement, though current diplomatic and market activity points to sustained coordination through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$36,499Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to coordinate production policies through regular OPEC+ ministerial meetings, with the core group reaffirming output targets for October 2026 and advancing reviews for 2027 quotas as recently as early September. Member exits, including the UAE's departure in May, have reduced the organization's footprint but prompted no dissolution; remaining producers such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and others maintain quota negotiations and compliance monitoring amid Middle East supply disruptions. Historical precedent shows the group adapting to prior withdrawals without collapse. Trader consensus at 96.9% against dissolution reflects this operational continuity. Late-year shifts could still emerge from accelerated exits by Iraq or Venezuela or abrupt breakdown in quota enforcement, though current diplomatic and market activity points to sustained coordination through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$36,499Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...OPEC continues to coordinate production policies through regular OPEC+ ministerial meetings, with the core group reaffirming output targets for October 2026 and advancing reviews for 2027 quotas as recently as early September. Member exits, including the UAE's departure in May, have reduced the organization's footprint but prompted no dissolution; remaining producers such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and others maintain quota negotiations and compliance monitoring amid Middle East supply disruptions. Historical precedent shows the group adapting to prior withdrawals without collapse. Trader consensus at 96.9% against dissolution reflects this operational continuity. Late-year shifts could still emerge from accelerated exits by Iraq or Venezuela or abrupt breakdown in quota enforcement, though current diplomatic and market activity points to sustained coordination through year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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