Microsoft shares closed at $416.67 on June 5 amid a broad tech selloff, placing the distribution for the June 12 close centered on the $410–$430 range where the three leading buckets hold roughly 59% implied probability. Recent volatility stems from mixed reactions to ongoing AI infrastructure investments, capacity constraints in Azure, and a board transition with Reid Hoffman stepping down, while analyst consensus price targets remain well above $560. With the next earnings release not due until late July, near-term price action will hinge on broader equity sentiment, Treasury yields, and any incremental updates on cloud growth or OpenAI-related developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$420-$430 26%
$400-$410 24%
$410-$420 23%
<$380 13%
<$380
13%
$380-$390
10%
$390-$400
13%
$400-$410
24%
$410-$420
23%
$420-$430
26%
$430-$440
11%
$440-$450
10%
$450-$460
5%
$460-$470
5%
>$470
8%
$420-$430 26%
$400-$410 24%
$410-$420 23%
<$380 13%
<$380
13%
$380-$390
10%
$390-$400
13%
$400-$410
24%
$410-$420
23%
$420-$430
26%
$430-$440
11%
$440-$450
10%
$450-$460
5%
$460-$470
5%
>$470
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Ринок відкрито: Jun 5, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Джерело вирішення
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft shares closed at $416.67 on June 5 amid a broad tech selloff, placing the distribution for the June 12 close centered on the $410–$430 range where the three leading buckets hold roughly 59% implied probability. Recent volatility stems from mixed reactions to ongoing AI infrastructure investments, capacity constraints in Azure, and a board transition with Reid Hoffman stepping down, while analyst consensus price targets remain well above $560. With the next earnings release not due until late July, near-term price action will hinge on broader equity sentiment, Treasury yields, and any incremental updates on cloud growth or OpenAI-related developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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