Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the BJP-led NDA’s parliamentary majority from the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and the absence of any scheduled national vote or constitutional trigger before the 2029 general election. Recent developments, including celebrations marking his 25 years as head of government and continued cabinet and policy activity, underscore institutional stability and party cohesion under his leadership. Ongoing opposition protests and youth-led actions target the Chief Election Commissioner over voter-roll concerns rather than demanding the prime minister’s immediate exit, limiting their direct impact on his tenure. Trader consensus at 95.5% for “No” reflects these structural barriers and the low likelihood of rapid internal revolt or external shocks sufficient to force resignation within the narrow remaining window. Rare scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden health event, a major scandal eroding coalition support, or an unprecedented party revolt, though none currently show credible momentum.