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icon for Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

icon for Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

7% шанс
Polymarket

$251,126 Обс.

7% шанс
Polymarket

$251,126 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the BJP-led NDA’s parliamentary majority and his status as India’s longest continuously serving elected leader after surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s record in June. The party marked his milestone tenure with public celebrations and launched outreach campaigns highlighting governance achievements ahead of his 25 years in public office. Recent opposition statements, such as Rahul Gandhi’s August remarks on a leadership transition, reflect standard political rhetoric without institutional backing. A fabricated resignation letter was quickly debunked by government fact-checkers in July, while ongoing protests over exam irregularities led to a ministerial change but produced no broader challenge to Modi’s authority. With the next Lok Sabha elections scheduled for 2029 and no scheduled votes or constitutional triggers in the interim, trader pricing reflects the absence of credible near-term pathways for removal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$251,126
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by the BJP-led NDA’s parliamentary majority and his status as India’s longest continuously serving elected leader after surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s record in June. The party marked his milestone tenure with public celebrations and launched outreach campaigns highlighting governance achievements ahead of his 25 years in public office. Recent opposition statements, such as Rahul Gandhi’s August remarks on a leadership transition, reflect standard political rhetoric without institutional backing. A fabricated resignation letter was quickly debunked by government fact-checkers in July, while ongoing protests over exam irregularities led to a ministerial change but produced no broader challenge to Modi’s authority. With the next Lok Sabha elections scheduled for 2029 and no scheduled votes or constitutional triggers in the interim, trader pricing reflects the absence of credible near-term pathways for removal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$251,126
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Modi out by December 31, 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 6% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 6¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 6%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Modi out by December 31, 2026?» згенерував $251.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 13, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Modi out by December 31, 2026?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Modi out by December 31, 2026?» — 6% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 6% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Modi out by December 31, 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.