The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District, vacated by Rep. Angie Craig’s Senate bid, has tilted toward Democrats in recent cycles, with the district carrying a modest D+3 partisan lean. Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination after winning the August primary with 47 percent and holds a clear polling edge, including a 52-40 lead in the most recent survey. Eric Pratt, the unopposed Republican nominee and longtime state senator, faces limited outside spending and minimal national attention that has kept the contest from becoming a true toss-up. Trader consensus reflected in the 90.8 percent price for Little incorporates these fundamentals plus the absence of major late developments that would typically shift a race of this type. A sudden national Republican surge, unexpected turnout surge in suburban or rural precincts, or significant candidate-specific development before November 3 could still narrow the margin.