Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the 35-38 million range for Michael's third domestic weekend box office, fueled by robust Friday earnings near $9 million despite losing IMAX screens, a projected Mother's Day Sunday uplift on May 10, and exceptional word-of-mouth yielding just a 44% drop to $54 million in weekend two after a record-shattering $97 million debut for a musical biopic. High audience scores counter poor critical reception, driving repeat viewership and legs of 2.5x the opener, with cumulative domestic now topping $240 million en route to eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's haul. Realistic upsets like a sharper-than-expected 40%+ plunge from intensifying competition or weather disruptions remain slim given steady per-theater averages and third-place hold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено"Michael" 3rd Weekend Box Office
"Michael" 3rd Weekend Box Office
35-38m 100.0%
<32m <1%
32-35m <1%
>38m <1%
$633,162 Обс.
$633,162 Обс.
May 11, 2026
<32m
No
32-35m
No
35-38m
Yes
>38m
No
35-38m 100.0%
<32m <1%
32-35m <1%
>38m <1%
$633,162 Обс.
$633,162 Обс.
May 11, 2026
<32m
$110,765 Обс.
No
32-35m
$141,090 Обс.
No
35-38m
$132,683 Обс.
Yes
>38m
$248,625 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the 35-38 million range for Michael's third domestic weekend box office, fueled by robust Friday earnings near $9 million despite losing IMAX screens, a projected Mother's Day Sunday uplift on May 10, and exceptional word-of-mouth yielding just a 44% drop to $54 million in weekend two after a record-shattering $97 million debut for a musical biopic. High audience scores counter poor critical reception, driving repeat viewership and legs of 2.5x the opener, with cumulative domestic now topping $240 million en route to eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's haul. Realistic upsets like a sharper-than-expected 40%+ plunge from intensifying competition or weather disruptions remain slim given steady per-theater averages and third-place hold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$633,162Дата завершення
May 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the 35-38 million range for Michael's third domestic weekend box office, fueled by robust Friday earnings near $9 million despite losing IMAX screens, a projected Mother's Day Sunday uplift on May 10, and exceptional word-of-mouth yielding just a 44% drop to $54 million in weekend two after a record-shattering $97 million debut for a musical biopic. High audience scores counter poor critical reception, driving repeat viewership and legs of 2.5x the opener, with cumulative domestic now topping $240 million en route to eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's haul. Realistic upsets like a sharper-than-expected 40%+ plunge from intensifying competition or weather disruptions remain slim given steady per-theater averages and third-place hold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$633,162Дата завершення
May 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the 35-38 million range for Michael's third domestic weekend box office, fueled by robust Friday earnings near $9 million despite losing IMAX screens, a projected Mother's Day Sunday uplift on May 10, and exceptional word-of-mouth yielding just a 44% drop to $54 million in weekend two after a record-shattering $97 million debut for a musical biopic. High audience scores counter poor critical reception, driving repeat viewership and legs of 2.5x the opener, with cumulative domestic now topping $240 million en route to eclipsing Bohemian Rhapsody's haul. Realistic upsets like a sharper-than-expected 40%+ plunge from intensifying competition or weather disruptions remain slim given steady per-theater averages and third-place hold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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