**xAI’s rapid iteration on the Grok 4 series drives current sentiment, with Grok 4.3 released May 5, 2026, as the fastest and most capable model to date.** It leads benchmarks in agentic tool calling, instruction following, and enterprise domains while supporting a 1-million-token context window. Elon Musk’s May 17 update noted that the 1.5T V9 foundation model had finished training and, after supplemental data, SFT, and RL, would reach release in roughly three to four weeks—placing a potential Grok 4.4 or equivalent upgrade window around mid-June. Traders are watching for official confirmation of scale jumps, new capabilities, or API rollout that would resolve the market. xAI continues daily refinements and platform integrations amid competition from other leading labs, with any slippage in the announced timeline or surprise announcements able to shift odds quickly.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGrok 4.4 released by...?
Grok 4.4 released by...?
$21,739 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
June 15
1%
June 30
9%
July 31
70%
$21,739 Обс.
June 15
$6,955 Обс.
1%
June 30
$12,719 Обс.
9%
July 31
$737 Обс.
70%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**xAI’s rapid iteration on the Grok 4 series drives current sentiment, with Grok 4.3 released May 5, 2026, as the fastest and most capable model to date.** It leads benchmarks in agentic tool calling, instruction following, and enterprise domains while supporting a 1-million-token context window. Elon Musk’s May 17 update noted that the 1.5T V9 foundation model had finished training and, after supplemental data, SFT, and RL, would reach release in roughly three to four weeks—placing a potential Grok 4.4 or equivalent upgrade window around mid-June. Traders are watching for official confirmation of scale jumps, new capabilities, or API rollout that would resolve the market. xAI continues daily refinements and platform integrations amid competition from other leading labs, with any slippage in the announced timeline or surprise announcements able to shift odds quickly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,739Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**xAI’s rapid iteration on the Grok 4 series drives current sentiment, with Grok 4.3 released May 5, 2026, as the fastest and most capable model to date.** It leads benchmarks in agentic tool calling, instruction following, and enterprise domains while supporting a 1-million-token context window. Elon Musk’s May 17 update noted that the 1.5T V9 foundation model had finished training and, after supplemental data, SFT, and RL, would reach release in roughly three to four weeks—placing a potential Grok 4.4 or equivalent upgrade window around mid-June. Traders are watching for official confirmation of scale jumps, new capabilities, or API rollout that would resolve the market. xAI continues daily refinements and platform integrations amid competition from other leading labs, with any slippage in the announced timeline or surprise announcements able to shift odds quickly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$21,739Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**xAI’s rapid iteration on the Grok 4 series drives current sentiment, with Grok 4.3 released May 5, 2026, as the fastest and most capable model to date.** It leads benchmarks in agentic tool calling, instruction following, and enterprise domains while supporting a 1-million-token context window. Elon Musk’s May 17 update noted that the 1.5T V9 foundation model had finished training and, after supplemental data, SFT, and RL, would reach release in roughly three to four weeks—placing a potential Grok 4.4 or equivalent upgrade window around mid-June. Traders are watching for official confirmation of scale jumps, new capabilities, or API rollout that would resolve the market. xAI continues daily refinements and platform integrations amid competition from other leading labs, with any slippage in the announced timeline or surprise announcements able to shift odds quickly.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання